Scoot Henderson

Portland Trail Blazers · G · #00

POR @ LAL · Today 10:00 PM

Over Under2.5

Under 2.5 Assists, typical price −1306 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

62%8 of 13L20 · Without Sharpe

Under 2.5 Assists hit in 8 of 13 games without Shaedon Sharpe (his last 20 games).

vs DAL, 2026-03-27: 3, missed, 22 min
vs WSH, 2026-03-29: 7, missed, 25 min
at LAC, 2026-03-31: 2, hit, 29 min
vs NO, 2026-04-02: 3, missed, 20 min
at DEN, 2026-04-06: 3, missed, 36 min
at SA, 2026-04-08: 2, hit, 38 min
vs LAC, 2026-04-10: 3, missed, 31 min (not counted)
vs SAC, 2026-04-12: 4, missed, 27 min (not counted)
at SA, 2026-04-19: 3, missed, 27 min (not counted)
at SA, 2026-04-21: 0, hit, 38 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-04-24: 1, hit, 36 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-04-26: 2, hit, 27 min (not counted)
at SA, 2026-04-28: 0, hit, 17 min (not counted)
vs PHX, 2026-10-21: 1, hit, 19 min
at SAC, 2026-10-23: 2, hit, 21 min
at LAL, 2026-10-27: 3, missed, 17 min
vs MEM, 2026-10-29: 0, hit, 19 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-31: 1, hit, 31 min
at DEN, 2026-11-02: 2, hit, 26 min
at PHX, 2026-11-04: 1, hit, 22 min

Under hitMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–4 assists.

What's different today

Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Shaedon Sharpe: Out (knee)
Under 2.5 without him: 14 of 34; with him: 4 of 8 (42 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ja Morant: Out (hamstring)
Under 2.5 without him: 3 of 3; with him: 3 of 4 (7 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
LAL allow 17.0 assists a game to guards: 4th most of 30
9 games
Minutes
Last 5: 23 min · 2025–26: 25.5 (35 games)

Splits

Under 2.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 2.5 · L20

Deni AvdijaF
Damian LillardG
Shaedon SharpeGOut
Ja MorantGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Trail Blazers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs LAL

Assists: 3 in 17 min, Oct 27 (away)

Under 2.5 hit in 2 of 5 games against LAL on record

L20 · Without Sharpe · Under 2.5

Average: 2.3; −0.2 vs line
Median: 2; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 62%; 8 of 13
Price implies: 57%; at −130
Books’ fair: 53%; margin removed
Our chance: 62%; estimate · fair −162

Research, not a pick. At −122 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −162, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L20 · Without Sharpe

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−20003 books	—	1/13
−2864 books	—	4/13
−1036 books	−1305 books	8/13
+2305 books	—	12/13
+4804 books	—	12/13
+10802 books	—	12/13
+21001 book	—	12/13

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
Pinnacle8 min ago	−108	−122Best
DraftKings8 min ago	−104	−126
FanDuel4 min ago	−102Best	−130
betPARX5 min ago	−103	−134
BetRivers6 min ago	−103	−134
Bally Bet8 min ago	−103	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:18 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Under: −122 → −130 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

Scoot Henderson's full game log and splits