Scoot Henderson
POR @ LAL · Today 10:00 PMGame log against Under 2.5
62%8 of 13L20 · Without Sharpe
Under 2.5 Assists hit in 8 of 13 games without Shaedon Sharpe (his last 20 games).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–4 assists.
What's different today
Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayTeammate out
Shaedon Sharpe: Out (knee)
Under 2.5 without him: 14 of 34; with him: 4 of 8 (42 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ja Morant: Out (hamstring)
Under 2.5 without him: 3 of 3; with him: 3 of 4 (7 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
LAL allow 17.0 assists a game to guards: 4th most of 30
9 games
Minutes
Last 5: 23 min · 2025–26: 25.5 (35 games)
Splits
Under 2.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 2.5 · L20Deni AvdijaF
Damian LillardG
Shaedon SharpeGOut
Ja MorantGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Trail Blazers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs LAL
Assists: 3 in 17 min, Oct 27 (away)
Under 2.5 hit in 2 of 5 games against LAL on record
L20 · Without Sharpe · Under 2.5
- Average
- 2.3
- −0.2 vs line
- Median
- 2
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 62%
- 8 of 13
- Price implies
- 55%
- at −122
- Books’ fair
- 51%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 61%
- estimate · fair −158
Research, not a pick. At −122 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −158, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L20 · Without Sharpe| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −3301 book | — | 4/13 | |
| −1082 books | −1222 books | 8/13 | |
| +2351 book | — | 12/13 | |
| +10601 book | — | 12/13 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 2.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel2 min ago | −108Best | −122Best |
| Pinnacle11 min ago | −108Best | −122Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 3:37 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
2.5Under: No move since first seen


