Sam Hauser
BOS @ HOU · Mon, Nov 2 8:30 PM
Game log against Under 2.5
60%6 of 10L10
Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made hit in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–4 3-pointers made.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Under 2.5
- Average
- 2.2
- −0.3 vs line
- Median
- 2
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 62%
- at −162
- Books’ fair
- 59%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 60%
- estimate · fair −150
Research, not a pick. At −159 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −150, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −9532 books | — | 0/10 | |
| −2255 books | +1441 book | 2/10 | |
| +1205 books | −1623 books | 6/10 | |
| +2655 books | — | 10/10 | |
| +5255 books | — | 10/10 | |
| +16802 books | — | 10/10 | |
| +31732 books | — | 10/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks at 2.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| betPARX12 hr ago | +120 | −159Best |
| BetRivers12 hr ago | +120 | −162 |
| DraftKings12 hr ago | +146 | −193 |
| Bally Bet12 hr ago | +120 | — |
| FanDuel12 hr ago | +162Best | — |
Prices as of 8:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
2.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace−0.6%
Rest−3%
This page last updated 8:37 PM ET.