Saddiq Bey

New Orleans Pelicans · F · #41

UTAH @ NO · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under17.5

Over 17.5 Pts+Reb, typical price −1101 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 17.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Jordan Poole: Out (ankle)
Over 17.5 without him: 35 of 44; with him: 25 of 35 (79 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Yves Missi: Out (knee)
Over 17.5 without him: 14 of 18; with him: 46 of 61 (79 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 27.4 min · 2025–26: 31.2 (72 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at MEM

80%8 of 10L10

Over 17.5 Pts+Reb cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).

at POR, 2026-04-02: 21, cleared, 35 min
at SAC, 2026-04-03: 21, cleared, 29 min
vs ORL, 2026-04-05: 38, cleared, 39 min
vs IND, 2026-10-21: 18, cleared, 24 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-23: 23, cleared, 22 min
at DEN, 2026-10-24: 18, cleared, 25 min
vs DEN, 2026-10-28: 9, missed, 26 min
vs SAC, 2026-10-29: 14, missed, 24 min
vs ATL, 2026-10-31: 31, cleared, 26 min
at MEM, 2026-11-02: 23, cleared, 36 min

ClearedMissedThe 17.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 10.8–32.8 pts+reb.

Splits

Over 17.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 17.5 · L10

Jeremiah FearsG
Dejounte MurrayG
Trey Murphy IIIFDay-To-Day
Jordan PooleGOut
Yves MissiCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Pelicans count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs UTAH

Pts+Reb: 23 in 22 min, Oct 23 (away)

Over 17.5 hit in 4 of 4 games against UTAH on record

L10 · Over 17.5

Average: 21.6; +4.1 vs line
Median: 21; +3.5 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 52%; at −110
Books’ fair: 49%; margin removed
Our chance: 60%; estimate · fair −153

Research, not a pick. At −110 the price beats our fair −153, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	−1101 book	−1201 book	8/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 2 pick'em apps at 17.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 17.5 Pts+Reb, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 17.5	Under 17.5
FanDuel5 min ago	−110Best	−120Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 12:59 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

17.5

Over −118 → −110 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+4%

Saddiq Bey's full game log and splits