Saddiq Bey

New Orleans Pelicans · F · #41

UTAH @ NO · Live

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made, typical price −1174 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

100%4 of 4L20 · Without Murphy

Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made cleared in 4 of 4 games without Trey Murphy III (his last 20 games).

vs TOR, 2026-03-11: 1, missed, 28 min (not counted)
at HOU, 2026-03-13: 0, missed, 30 min (not counted)
vs DAL, 2026-03-16: 1, missed, 35 min (not counted)
vs LAC, 2026-03-18: 5, cleared, 35 min (not counted)
vs LAC, 2026-03-19: 3, cleared, 36 min (not counted)
vs CLE, 2026-03-21: 4, cleared, 36 min (not counted)
at NY, 2026-03-24: 4, cleared, 28 min (not counted)
at DET, 2026-03-26: 3, cleared, 31 min
at TOR, 2026-03-27: 3, cleared, 30 min
vs HOU, 2026-03-29: 4, cleared, 31 min
at POR, 2026-04-02: 3, cleared, 35 min (not counted)
at SAC, 2026-04-03: 1, missed, 29 min (not counted)
vs ORL, 2026-04-05: 3, cleared, 39 min
vs IND, 2026-10-21: 2, cleared, 24 min (not counted)
at UTAH, 2026-10-23: 3, cleared, 22 min (not counted)
at DEN, 2026-10-24: 2, cleared, 25 min (not counted)
vs DEN, 2026-10-28: 1, missed, 26 min (not counted)
vs SAC, 2026-10-29: 1, missed, 24 min (not counted)
vs ATL, 2026-10-31: 1, missed, 26 min (not counted)
at MEM, 2026-11-02: 2, cleared, 36 min (not counted)

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 0–4 3-pointers made.

What's different yesterday

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

YesterdayTeammate out
Trey Murphy III: Out (knee)
Over 1.5 without him: 10 of 11; with him: 37 of 68 (79 games as teammates)
YesterdayDefense vs forwards
UTAH allow 6.4 threes made a game to forwards: 2nd most of 30
7 games
Teammate out
Yves Missi: Out (knee)
Over 1.5 without him: 11 of 18; with him: 36 of 61 (79 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 27.4 min · 2025–26: 31.2 (72 games)

Splits

Over 1.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L20

Jeremiah FearsG
Dejounte MurrayG
Trey Murphy IIIFOut
Yves MissiCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Pelicans count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs UTAH

3-Pointers Made: 3 in 22 min, Oct 23 (away)

Over 1.5 hit in 4 of 4 games against UTAH on record

L20 · Without Murphy · Over 1.5

Average: 3.3; +1.8 vs line
Median: 3; +1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 100%; 4 of 4
Price implies: 54%; at −117
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 58%; estimate · fair −137

Research, not a pick. At −109 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −137, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Murphy

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−5171 book	—	4/4
−1174 books	−1153 books	4/4
+2352 books	—	4/4
+5402 books	—	1/4
+15801 book	—	0/4

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
Pinnacle5 hr ago	−109Best	−122
Bovada5 hr ago	−115	−115
DraftKings5 hr ago	−117	−113Best
Bally Bet5 hr ago	−118	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 8:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: +112 → −117 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+4%

Saddiq Bey's full game log and splits

This page last updated 8:13 PM ET.