Robert Williams III
POR @ LAL · Today 10:00 PMGame log against Over 11.5
62%8 of 13L20 · Without Sharpe
Over 11.5 Pts+Reb cleared in 8 of 13 games without Shaedon Sharpe (his last 20 games).
What's different today
Over 11.5 · facts from past games, not a pick3 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came with Shaedon Sharpe playing; Sharpe is out today. Without him: Over 11.5 in 20 of 29.
TodayTeammate out
Shaedon Sharpe: Out (knee)
Over 11.5 without him: 20 of 29; with him: 25 of 41 (70 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ja Morant: Out (hamstring)
Over 11.5 without him: 1 of 3; with him: 3 of 3 (6 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 16.8 min · 2025–26: 17.5 (64 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at PHX
4th straight road game
Splits
Over 11.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 11.5 · L20Deni AvdijaF
Damian LillardG
Shaedon SharpeGOut
Ja MorantGOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Trail Blazers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs LAL
Pts+Reb: 24 in 21 min, Oct 27 (away)
Over 11.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against LAL on record
L20 · Without Sharpe · Over 11.5
- Average
- 12.9
- +1.4 vs line
- Median
- 12
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 62%
- 8 of 13
- Price implies
- 59%
- at −145
- Books’ fair
- 54%
- margin removed
- Minutes
- 16.5
- 13 games · 17.5 in 2025–26
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 11.5 54%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L20 · Without Sharpe| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −30001 book | — | 13/13 | |
| −2511 book | — | 10/13 | |
| −1901 book | +1451 book | 9/13 | |
| −1452 books | −1042 books | 8/13 | |
| −1052 books | −1252 books | 5/13 | |
| +1611 book | — | 4/13 | |
| +5631 book | — | 1/13 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 11.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 11.5 | Under 11.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel1 min ago | −128Best | −104 |
| Bovada13 min ago | −145 | +110Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 5:11 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
11.5Over: −128 → −145 since first seen


