Payton Pritchard

Boston Celtics · G · #11

BOS @ CHA · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under2.5

Over 2.5 Rebounds, typical price −1656 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Rebounds cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 on the road).

at PHI, 2026-04-30: 3, cleared, 36 min
vs PHI, 2026-05-02: 5, cleared, 39 min
at DET, 2026-10-20: 4, cleared, 28 min
vs NY, 2026-10-23: 1, missed, 30 min
vs CHI, 2026-10-26: 1, missed, 22 min
vs BKN, 2026-10-27: 2, missed, 24 min
vs CHI, 2026-10-30: 3, cleared, 35 min
at ORL, 2026-11-01: 7, cleared, 27 min
at HOU, 2026-11-02: 3, cleared, 30 min
vs MIL, 2026-11-04: 1, missed, 18 min

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–6.3 rebounds.

What's different today

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs guards
CHA allow 16.3 rebounds a game to guards: 10th most of 30
9 games
Minutes
Last 5: 26.8 min · 2026–27: 26.8 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 vs MIL
Game lines
BOS −9.5 · total 207.5 (7 sportsbooks)
BOS's games this season closed at 224.3 on average (8 games)

Splits

Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CHA in his last 10; Over 2.5 cleared in 5 of 7 against CHA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L10

Jayson TatumF
Paul GeorgeF
Derrick WhiteG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Celtics count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CHA

Rebounds: 4 in 30 min, Apr 7 (home)

Over 2.5 hit in 5 of 7 games against CHA on record

L10 · Over 2.5

Average: 3; +0.5 vs line
Median: 3; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 62%; at −165
Books’ fair: 58%; margin removed
Our chance: 59%; estimate · fair −146

Research, not a pick. At −162 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −146, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−4553 books	—	7/10
−1656 books	+1255 books	6/10
+1407 books	−2422 books	3/10
+2755 books	—	2/10
+5255 books	—	1/10
+9502 books	—	1/10
+18002 books	—	0/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Rebounds, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
Bally Bet1 min ago	−162Best	—
betPARX1 min ago	−162Best	+120
BetRivers1 min ago	−162Best	+120
Bovada1 min ago	−165	+125
DraftKings1 min ago	−169	+128
FanDuel1 min ago	−174	+130Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 2:45 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

3.5 → 2.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace−0.9%

Payton Pritchard's full game log and splits