Payton PritchardDay-To-Day

Boston Celtics · G · #11

BOS @ CHA · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under2.5

Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made, typical price −1782 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

80%8 of 10L10

Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made hit in 8 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 on the road).

at PHI, 2026-04-30: 1, hit, 36 min
vs PHI, 2026-05-02: 2, hit, 39 min
at DET, 2026-10-20: 2, hit, 28 min
vs NY, 2026-10-23: 1, hit, 30 min
vs CHI, 2026-10-26: 7, missed, 22 min
vs BKN, 2026-10-27: 0, hit, 24 min
vs CHI, 2026-10-30: 3, missed, 35 min
at ORL, 2026-11-01: 0, hit, 27 min
at HOU, 2026-11-02: 0, hit, 30 min
vs MIL, 2026-11-04: 0, hit, 18 min

Under hitMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–4 3-pointers made.

What's different today

Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs guards
CHA allow 7.0 threes made a game to guards: 20th most of 30
9 games
Minutes
Last 5: 26.8 min · 2026–27: 26.8 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 vs MIL
Game lines
BOS −8.5 · total 209.5 (8 sportsbooks)
BOS's games this season closed at 224.3 on average (8 games)

Splits

Under 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CHA in his last 10; Under 2.5 hit in 3 of 7 against CHA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 2.5 · L10

Jayson TatumF
Paul GeorgeF
Derrick WhiteG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Celtics count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CHA

3-Pointers Made: 4 in 30 min, Apr 7 (home)

Under 2.5 hit in 3 of 7 games against CHA on record

L10 · Under 2.5

Average: 1.6; −0.9 vs line
Median: 1; −1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 64%; at −178
Books’ fair: 60%; margin removed
Our chance: 65%; estimate · fair −186

Research, not a pick. At −172 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −186, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−14002 books	—	4/10
−2402 books	—	6/10
+1282 books	−1782 books	8/10
+3232 books	—	9/10
+7002 books	—	9/10
+15002 books	—	9/10
+27002 books	—	9/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
FanDuel3 min ago	+128	−172Best
DraftKings3 min ago	+134Best	−178
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:16 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Under: −172 → −178 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace−0.9%

Payton Pritchard's full game log and splits