Paul George

Boston Celtics · F · #13

MIL @ BOS · Live

Over Under4.5

Over 4.5 Assists, typical price −1503 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

30%3 of 10L10

Over 4.5 Assists cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (2 of 6 at home).

at NY, 2026-05-04: 3, missed, 26 min
at NY, 2026-05-06: 4, missed, 43 min
vs NY, 2026-05-08: 3, missed, 38 min
vs NY, 2026-05-10: 2, missed, 27 min
at DET, 2026-10-20: 3, missed, 31 min
vs NY, 2026-10-23: 2, missed, 34 min
vs CHI, 2026-10-26: 2, missed, 25 min
vs BKN, 2026-10-27: 7, cleared, 36 min
vs CHI, 2026-10-30: 8, cleared, 27 min
at ORL, 2026-11-01: 8, cleared, 33 min

ClearedMissedThe 4.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different yesterday

Over 4.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

All 3 of his last 3 came with Jayson Tatum playing; Tatum is out yesterday. Without him: Over 4.5 in no games.

YesterdayTeammate out
Jayson Tatum: Out (rest)
Over 4.5 without him: no games; with him: 3 of 6 (6 games as teammates)
New team
6 games with BOS; before that, PHI
Over 4.5 with BOS: 3 of 6; his last 10 games before: 2 of 10
Defense vs forwards
MIL allow 6.9 assists a game to forwards: 22nd most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 31 min · 2025–26: 31.8 (48 games)

Splits

Over 4.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIL in his last 10; Over 4.5 cleared in 3 of 6 against MIL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 4.5 · L10

Jayson TatumFOut
Payton PritchardG
Derrick WhiteG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Celtics count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIL

George didn't play the Apr 3 meeting; assists the last time George faced them: 2 (Apr 12)

Over 4.5 hit in 3 of 6 games against MIL on record

L10 · Over 4.5

Average: 4.2; −0.3 vs line
Median: 3; −1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 30%; 3 of 10
Price implies: 60%; at −150
Books’ fair: 57%; margin removed
Minutes: 32; 10 games · 31.8 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 4.5 57%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−9602 books	—	7/10
−3462 books	—	4/10
−1503 books	+1132 books	3/10
+1282 books	—	3/10
+2452 books	—	3/10
+4202 books	—	2/10
+7002 books	—	0/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 4.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 4.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 4.5	Under 4.5
Bally Bet7 hr ago	−148Best	—
Pinnacle7 hr ago	−150	+113
DraftKings7 hr ago	−157	+119Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:41 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

4.5

−114 → −150 since first seen

Paul George's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:43 PM ET.