Paul George

Boston Celtics · F · #13

MIL @ BOS · Today 7:30 PM

Over Under2.5

Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made, typical price −1581 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

New team
6 games with BOS; before that, PHI
Over 2.5 with BOS: 4 of 6; his last 10 games before: 8 of 10
Defense vs forwards
MIL allow 4.4 threes made a game to forwards: 18th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 31 min · 2025–26: 31.8 (48 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at HOU
George sat the last game (Nov 2)

70%7 of 10L10

Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 at home).

at NY, 2026-05-04: 4, cleared, 26 min
at NY, 2026-05-06: 5, cleared, 43 min
vs NY, 2026-05-08: 3, cleared, 38 min
vs NY, 2026-05-10: 1, missed, 27 min
at DET, 2026-10-20: 7, cleared, 31 min
vs NY, 2026-10-23: 3, cleared, 34 min
vs CHI, 2026-10-26: 3, cleared, 25 min
vs BKN, 2026-10-27: 1, missed, 36 min
vs CHI, 2026-10-30: 2, missed, 27 min
at ORL, 2026-11-01: 3, cleared, 33 min

ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 1–5 3-pointers made.

Splits

Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIL in his last 10; Over 2.5 cleared in 3 of 6 against MIL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 2.5 · L10

Jayson TatumFDay-To-Day
Payton PritchardGDay-To-Day
Derrick WhiteG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Celtics count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIL

George didn't play the Apr 3 meeting; 3-pointers made the last time George faced them: 1 (Apr 12)

Over 2.5 hit in 3 of 6 games against MIL on record

L10 · Over 2.5

Average: 3.2; +0.7 vs line
Median: 3; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 61%; at −158
Books’ fair: 57%; margin removed
Our chance: 58%; estimate · fair −137

Research, not a pick. At −158 the price is worse than our fair −137, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−45001 book	—	10/10
−5201 book	—	8/10
−1581 book	+1181 book	7/10
+1721 book	—	3/10
+4101 book	—	2/10
+8701 book	—	1/10
+15001 book	—	1/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
FanDuel6 min ago	−158Best	+118Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 12:53 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

No move since first seen

Paul George's full game log and splits