Noah Clowney

Brooklyn Nets · F · #21

CHA @ BKN · Live

Over Under3.5

Over 3.5 Rebounds, typical price −1222 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 3.5 Rebounds cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 at home).

vs SAC, 2026-03-29: 7, cleared, 20 min
vs CHA, 2026-03-31: 3, missed, 20 min
vs ATL, 2026-04-03: 4, cleared, 21 min
vs CHA, 2026-10-21: 3, missed, 22 min
at CLE, 2026-10-24: 4, cleared, 20 min
vs IND, 2026-10-25: 5, cleared, 20 min
at BOS, 2026-10-27: 4, cleared, 24 min
vs DET, 2026-10-30: 8, cleared, 22 min
at IND, 2026-11-01: 3, missed, 24 min
at NY, 2026-11-02: 6, cleared, 20 min

ClearedMissedThe 3.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 1.2–7.9 rebounds.

What's different yesterday

Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Egor Demin: Out (leg)
Over 3.5 without him: 9 of 22; with him: 34 of 51 (73 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
CHA allow 16.6 rebounds a game to forwards: 23rd most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 22 min · 2025–26: 27 (66 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at NY

Splits

Over 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 3.5 · L10

Julius RandleF
Michael Porter Jr.F
Mikel Brown Jr.G
Egor DeminGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Nets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CHA

Rebounds: 3 in 22 min, Oct 21 (home)

Over 3.5 hit in 2 of 6 games against CHA on record

L10 · Over 3.5

Average: 4.7; +1.2 vs line
Median: 4; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 55%; at −122
Books’ fair: 51%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −133

Research, not a pick. At −120 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −133, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−7151 book	—	10/10
−2792 books	—	10/10
−1222 books	−1101 book	7/10
+1602 books	—	4/10
+2802 books	—	3/10
+4752 books	—	2/10
+11601 book	—	1/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 3.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Rebounds, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 3.5	Under 3.5
DraftKings12 hr ago	−120Best	−110Best
Bally Bet12 hr ago	−122	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:41 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

Over: −136 → −122 since first seen

Noah Clowney's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:43 PM ET.