Noah Clowney

Brooklyn Nets · F · #21

CHA @ BKN · Live

Over Under9.5

Over 9.5 Pts+Reb, typical price −1342 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 9.5 Pts+Reb cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (5 of 6 at home).

vs SAC, 2026-03-29: 22, cleared, 20 min
vs CHA, 2026-03-31: 7, missed, 20 min
vs ATL, 2026-04-03: 16, cleared, 21 min
vs CHA, 2026-10-21: 12, cleared, 22 min
at CLE, 2026-10-24: 8, missed, 20 min
vs IND, 2026-10-25: 14, cleared, 20 min
at BOS, 2026-10-27: 7, missed, 24 min
vs DET, 2026-10-30: 11, cleared, 22 min
at IND, 2026-11-01: 11, cleared, 24 min
at NY, 2026-11-02: 8, missed, 20 min

ClearedMissedThe 9.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 3.8–21.4 pts+reb.

What's different yesterday

Over 9.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Egor Demin: Out (leg)
Over 9.5 without him: 14 of 22; with him: 44 of 51 (73 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 22 min · 2025–26: 27 (66 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at NY
Pace · possessions a game · 7 games
CHA 29th, BKN 12th of 30

Splits

Over 9.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 9.5 · L10

Julius RandleF
Michael Porter Jr.F
Mikel Brown Jr.G
Egor DeminGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Nets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CHA

Pts+Reb: 12 in 22 min, Oct 21 (home)

Over 9.5 hit in 2 of 6 games against CHA on record

L10 · Over 9.5

Average: 11.6; +2.1 vs line
Median: 11; +1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 57%; at −134
Books’ fair: 54%; margin removed
Our chance: 58%; estimate · fair −136

Research, not a pick. At −124 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −136, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−11401 book	—	10/10
−1342 books	+1021 book	6/10
+1051 book	—	6/10
+2902 books	—	2/10
+11401 book	—	1/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks at 9.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 9.5 Pts+Reb, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 9.5	Under 9.5
Bally Bet10 hr ago	−124Best	—
DraftKings10 hr ago	−134	+102Best

Prices as of 7:41 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

9.5

−119 → −134 since first seen

Noah Clowney's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:43 PM ET.