Noah Clowney

Brooklyn Nets · F · #21

BKN @ NYNets @ Knicks · Mon, Nov 2 7:30 PM ET

The line

Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made

−2025 sportsbooksbest −182

Game log

Under 1.5

Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made hit in 9 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 on the road).

at LAL: 1, hit
vs SAC: 3, missed
vs CHA: 0, hit
vs ATL: 0, hit
vs CHA: 1, hit
at CLE: 1, hit
vs IND: 1, hit
at BOS: 1, hit
vs DET: 0, hit
at IND: 0, hit

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–2 3-pointers made.

Home and away

L10 · Under 1.5

Home

83%

5 of 6

Awaytonight

100%

4 of 4

L10 · Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made

Average: 0.8; −0.7 vs line
Median: 1; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 90%; 9 of 10
Price implies: 67%; −202, 5 sportsbooks
Market’s fair: 63%; margin removed
Our chance: 68%; estimate · fair −215

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Research, not a pick. At −182 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −215, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
betPARX6 hr ago	+135	−182Best
BetRivers6 hr ago	+135	−186
Bovada6 hr ago	+165	−220
FanDuel6 hr ago	+186Best	−245
Bally Bet6 hr ago	+135	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price