Neemias Queta

Boston Celtics · C · #88

MIL @ BOS · Live

Over Under0.5

—1 pick'em app, no priceUpdated

80%8 of 10L10

Under 0.5 Steals hit in 8 of his last 10 games (5 of 6 at home).

vs PHI, 2026-04-28: 0, hit, 26 min
at PHI, 2026-04-30: 0, hit, 20 min
vs PHI, 2026-05-02: 0, hit, 33 min
at DET, 2026-10-20: 1, missed, 22 min
vs NY, 2026-10-23: 0, hit, 22 min
vs CHI, 2026-10-26: 0, hit, 19 min
vs BKN, 2026-10-27: 0, hit, 15 min
vs CHI, 2026-10-30: 1, missed, 20 min
at ORL, 2026-11-01: 0, hit, 27 min
at HOU, 2026-11-02: 0, hit, 26 min

Under hitMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 0–1 steals.

What's different yesterday

Under 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

7 of his 8 hits in the last 10 came with Jayson Tatum playing; Tatum is out yesterday. Without him: Under 0.5 in 29 of 63.

YesterdayTeammate out
Jayson Tatum: Out (rest)
Under 0.5 without him: 29 of 63; with him: 20 of 30 (93 games as teammates)
Defense vs centers
MIL allow 1.1 steals a game to centers: 8th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 21.4 min · 2025–26: 25 (83 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at HOU

Splits

Under 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIL in his last 10; Under 0.5 hit in 6 of 7 against MIL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 0.5 · L10

Jayson TatumFOut
Paul GeorgeF
Payton PritchardG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Celtics count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIL

Steals: 0 in 29 min, Apr 3 (away)

Under 0.5 hit in 6 of 7 games against MIL on record

L10 · Under 0.5

Average: 0.2; −0.3 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: —; 1 pick'em app, no price
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Our chance: 63%; estimate · fair −174

Research, not a pick. No sportsbook prices the Under 0.5 right now; it's posted on 1 pick'em app. Our fair price is −174.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+1021 book	pick'em only	8/10
	+4801 book	—	10/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Steals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bally Bet16 hr ago	+102Best	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:41 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Under isn't priced at 0.5 right now.

Neemias Queta's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:43 PM ET.