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Neemias Queta

Boston Celtics · C · #88

MIL @ BOS · Live
OverUnder10.5
Over 10.5 Points, typical price −1052 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 10.5

40%4 of 10L10

Over 10.5 Points cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 at home).

  1. vs PHI, 2026-04-28: 8, missed, 26 min
  2. at PHI, 2026-04-30: 4, missed, 20 min
  3. vs PHI, 2026-05-02: 17, cleared, 33 min
  4. at DET, 2026-10-20: 3, missed, 22 min
  5. vs NY, 2026-10-23: 15, cleared, 22 min
  6. vs CHI, 2026-10-26: 7, missed, 19 min
  7. vs BKN, 2026-10-27: 7, missed, 15 min
  8. vs CHI, 2026-10-30: 13, cleared, 20 min
  9. at ORL, 2026-11-01: 8, missed, 27 min
  10. at HOU, 2026-11-02: 16, cleared, 26 min
ClearedMissedThe 10.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different yesterday

Over 10.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • YesterdayTeammate out

    Jayson Tatum: Out (rest)

    Over 10.5 without him: 20 of 63; with him: 13 of 30 (93 games as teammates)

  • YesterdayDefense vs centers

    MIL allow 20.1 points a game to centers: 2nd most of 30

    7 games

  • Minutes

    Last 5: 21.4 min · 2025–26: 25 (83 games)

  • Rest

    1 day off since Nov 2 at HOU

Splits

Over 10.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIL in his last 10; Over 10.5 cleared in 2 of 7 against MIL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 10.5 · L10
  • Jayson TatumFOut

  • Paul GeorgeF

  • Payton PritchardG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Celtics count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIL

Points: 19 in 29 min, Apr 3 (away)

Over 10.5 hit in 2 of 7 games against MIL on record

L10 · Over 10.5

Average
9.8
−0.7 vs line
Median
8
−2.5 vs line
Hit rate
40%
4 of 10
Price implies
51%
at −105
Books’ fair
48%
margin removed
Minutes
23
10 games · 25 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 10.5 48%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−11002 books—8/10
−4362 books—6/10
−2072 books—4/10
−1052 books−1261 book4/10
−1092 books−1171 book4/10
+2001 book—3/10
+2231 book—3/10
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 10.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 10.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 10.5Under 10.5
Bally Bet18 hr ago+100Best—
Pinnacle18 hr ago−105−126Best
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 7:41 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

10.5

Over: −102 → −105 since first seen

Neemias Queta's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:43 PM ET.