Neemias Queta

Boston Celtics · C · #88

MIL @ BOS · Live

Over Under1.5

—1 pick'em app, no priceUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Under 1.5 Blocks hit in 5 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 at home).

vs PHI, 2026-04-28: 0, hit, 26 min
at PHI, 2026-04-30: 2, missed, 20 min
vs PHI, 2026-05-02: 0, hit, 33 min
at DET, 2026-10-20: 2, missed, 22 min
vs NY, 2026-10-23: 3, missed, 22 min
vs CHI, 2026-10-26: 2, missed, 19 min
vs BKN, 2026-10-27: 0, hit, 15 min
vs CHI, 2026-10-30: 1, hit, 20 min
at ORL, 2026-11-01: 2, missed, 27 min
at HOU, 2026-11-02: 0, hit, 26 min

Under hitMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 0–3 blocks.

What's different yesterday

Under 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

YesterdayTeammate out
Jayson Tatum: Out (rest)
Under 1.5 without him: 44 of 63; with him: 19 of 30 (93 games as teammates)
Defense vs centers
MIL allow 1.0 blocks a game to centers: 22nd most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 21.4 min · 2025–26: 25 (83 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at HOU

Splits

Under 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIL in his last 10; Under 1.5 hit in 6 of 7 against MIL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 1.5 · L10

Jayson TatumFOut
Paul GeorgeF
Payton PritchardG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Celtics count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIL

Blocks: 4 in 29 min, Apr 3 (away)

Under 1.5 hit in 6 of 7 games against MIL on record

L10 · Under 1.5

Average: 1.2; −0.3 vs line
Median: 1.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: —; 1 pick'em app, no price
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Our chance: 62%; estimate · fair −165

Research, not a pick. No sportsbook prices the Under 1.5 right now; it's posted on 1 pick'em app. Our fair price is −165.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2752 books	+1781 book	4/10
+1602 books	pick'em only	5/10
+4752 books	—	9/10
+15401 book	—	10/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Blocks, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
Bally Bet15 hr ago	+160	—
DraftKings15 hr ago	+184Best	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:41 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Under isn't priced at 1.5 right now.

Neemias Queta's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:43 PM ET.