Naji Marshall

Dallas Mavericks · F · #3

UTAH @ DAL · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under11.5

Over 11.5 Points, typical price −1226 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 11.5 Points cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 at home).

at DEN, 2026-03-25: 22, cleared, 30 min
at POR, 2026-03-27: 19, cleared, 33 min
vs ORL, 2026-04-03: 9, missed, 24 min
vs LAL, 2026-04-05: 13, cleared, 32 min
at LAC, 2026-04-07: 6, missed, 20 min
at HOU, 2026-10-21: 16, cleared, 29 min
at IND, 2026-10-23: 15, cleared, 33 min
vs SA, 2026-10-24: 10, missed, 21 min
vs SAC, 2026-11-02: 5, missed, 24 min
at SA, 2026-11-04: 22, cleared, 26 min

ClearedMissedThe 11.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different today

Over 11.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayBack from an absence
Today's game is his 3rd back after missing 3 games in a row (Oct 26 – Oct 30)
Over 11.5 since: 1 of 2
TodayDefense vs forwards
UTAH allow 49.9 points a game to forwards: 3rd most of 30
8 games
Teammate out
Dereck Lively II: Out (foot)
Over 11.5 without him: 48 of 72; with him: 3 of 7 (79 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 26.6 min · 2025–26: 29.5 (74 games)

Splits

Over 11.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against UTAH in his last 10; Over 11.5 cleared in 5 of 9 against UTAH on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 11.5 · L10

Cooper FlaggF
Kyrie IrvingG
P.J. WashingtonF
Dereck Lively IICOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Mavericks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs UTAH

Points: 16 in 29 min, Jan 17 (home)

Over 11.5 hit in 5 of 9 games against UTAH on record

L10 · Over 11.5

Average: 13.7; +2.2 vs line
Median: 14; +2.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 55%; at −122
Books’ fair: 51%; margin removed
Minutes: 27.2; 10 games · 29.5 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 11.5 51%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−8601 book	—	9/10
−3831 book	—	8/10
−2155 books	—	7/10
−1226 books	−1105 books	6/10
+1353 books	—	5/10
+1892 books	—	5/10
+2153 books	—	4/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 11.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 11.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 11.5	Under 11.5
DraftKings3 min ago	−112Best	−114
FanDuel2 min ago	−118	−112
Pinnacle3 min ago	−118	−110Best
Bally Bet3 min ago	−122	—
betPARXjust now	−122	−110Best
BetRivers3 min ago	−122	−110Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:02 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

11.5

Over: −118 → −122 since first seen

Naji Marshall's full game log and splits