Moussa DiabateDay-To-Day

Charlotte Hornets · F · #14

BOS @ CHA · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Steals, typical price −2502 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

75%6 of 8L20 · Without Knueppel

Over 0.5 Steals cleared in 6 of 8 games without Kon Knueppel (his last 20 games).

vs MEM, 2026-03-21: 1, cleared, 33 min (not counted)
vs SAC, 2026-03-24: 1, cleared, 24 min (not counted)
vs NY, 2026-03-26: 4, cleared, 30 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-03-28: 1, cleared, 25 min (not counted)
vs BOS, 2026-03-29: 0, missed, 25 min (not counted)
at BKN, 2026-03-31: 0, missed, 27 min (not counted)
vs PHX, 2026-04-02: 1, cleared, 25 min (not counted)
at MIN, 2026-04-05: 1, cleared, 24 min (not counted)
at BOS, 2026-04-07: 1, cleared, 33 min (not counted)
vs DET, 2026-04-10: 0, missed, 25 min (not counted)
at NY, 2026-04-12: 0, missed, 26 min (not counted)
at BKN, 2026-10-21: 3, cleared, 34 min
vs ATL, 2026-10-23: 1, cleared, 21 min
vs MIA, 2026-10-24: 2, cleared, 22 min
vs WSH, 2026-10-26: 1, cleared, 35 min
at DET, 2026-10-28: 0, missed, 35 min
at WSH, 2026-10-30: 2, cleared, 31 min
vs PHI, 2026-10-31: 0, missed, 28 min
vs DET, 2026-11-02: 3, cleared, 24 min
at BKN, 2026-11-04: 0, missed, 29 min (not counted)

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 steals.

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Kon Knueppel: Out (hamstring)
Over 0.5 without him: 7 of 9; with him: 33 of 73 (82 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Grant Williams: Out (hamstring)
Over 0.5 without him: 23 of 43; with him: 15 of 32 (75 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
BOS allow 2.0 steals a game to forwards: 27th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 29.4 min · 2026–27: 28.8 (9 games)

Splits

Over 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L20

Brandon MillerF
Naz ReidC
Kon KnueppelGOut
Grant WilliamsFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Hornets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs BOS

Steals: 1 in 33 min, Apr 7 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 3 of 6 games against BOS on record

L20 · Without Knueppel · Over 0.5

Average: 1.5; +1 vs line
Median: 1.5; +1 vs line
Hit rate: 75%; 6 of 8
Price implies: 71%; at −250
Books’ fair: 66%; margin removed
Our chance: 64%; estimate · fair −177

Research, not a pick. At −240 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −177, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Knueppel

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−2502 books	+1771 book	6/8
+1892 books	−2701 book	4/8
+6302 books	—	2/8
+15002 books	—	0/8

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Steals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings3 min ago	−240Best	+177Best
FanDuel2 min ago	−250	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 10:55 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

1.5 → 0.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace−0.9%

Moussa Diabate's full game log and splits