Moussa DiabateDay-To-Day

Charlotte Hornets · F · #14

BOS @ CHA · Today 7:00 PM

Over Under11.5

Under 11.5 Reb+Ast, typical price −1401 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

75%6 of 8L20 · Without Knueppel

Under 11.5 Reb+Ast hit in 6 of 8 games without Kon Knueppel (his last 20 games).

vs MEM, 2026-03-21: 17, missed, 33 min (not counted)
vs SAC, 2026-03-24: 13, missed, 24 min (not counted)
vs NY, 2026-03-26: 8, hit, 30 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-03-28: 13, missed, 25 min (not counted)
vs BOS, 2026-03-29: 6, hit, 25 min (not counted)
at BKN, 2026-03-31: 13, missed, 27 min (not counted)
vs PHX, 2026-04-02: 11, hit, 25 min (not counted)
at MIN, 2026-04-05: 13, missed, 24 min (not counted)
at BOS, 2026-04-07: 10, hit, 33 min (not counted)
vs DET, 2026-04-10: 8, hit, 25 min (not counted)
at NY, 2026-04-12: 12, missed, 26 min (not counted)
at BKN, 2026-10-21: 10, hit, 34 min
vs ATL, 2026-10-23: 9, hit, 21 min
vs MIA, 2026-10-24: 7, hit, 22 min
vs WSH, 2026-10-26: 20, missed, 35 min
at DET, 2026-10-28: 11, hit, 35 min
at WSH, 2026-10-30: 13, missed, 31 min
vs PHI, 2026-10-31: 11, hit, 28 min
vs DET, 2026-11-02: 11, hit, 24 min
at BKN, 2026-11-04: 8, hit, 29 min (not counted)

Under hitMissedThe 11.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 6.2–15.6 reb+ast.

What's different today

Under 11.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

1 of his last 3 came with Kon Knueppel playing; Knueppel is out today. Without him: Under 11.5 in 6 of 9.

TodayTeammate out
Kon Knueppel: Out (hamstring)
Under 11.5 without him: 6 of 9; with him: 42 of 73 (82 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Grant Williams: Out (hamstring)
Under 11.5 without him: 28 of 43; with him: 14 of 32 (75 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 29.4 min · 2026–27: 28.8 (9 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at BKN

Splits

Under 11.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 11.5 · L20

Brandon MillerF
Naz ReidC
Kon KnueppelGOut
Grant WilliamsFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Hornets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs BOS

Reb+Ast: 10 in 33 min, Apr 7 (away)

Under 11.5 hit in 5 of 6 games against BOS on record

L20 · Without Knueppel · Under 11.5

Average: 11.5; ±0 vs line
Median: 11; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 75%; 6 of 8
Price implies: 58%; at −140
Books’ fair: 55%; margin removed
Our chance: 58%; estimate · fair −137

Research, not a pick. At −140 the price is worse than our fair −137, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L20 · Without Knueppel

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L20
	pick'em only	pick'em only	3/8
	+1061 book	−1401 book	6/8

Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 11.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 11.5 Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 11.5	Under 11.5
FanDuel3 min ago	+106Best	−140Best
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:30 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

11.5

10.5 → 11.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace−0.9%

Moussa Diabate's full game log and splits