Moussa Diabate

Charlotte Hornets · F · #14

Over 1.5 Assists, typical price −1882 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

2 of his 8 hits in the last 10 came with Kon Knueppel playing; Knueppel is out today. Without him: Over 1.5 in 7 of 9.

TodayTeammate out
Kon Knueppel: Out (hamstring)
Over 1.5 without him: 7 of 9; with him: 39 of 72 (81 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Grant Williams: Out (hamstring)
Over 1.5 without him: 24 of 42; with him: 22 of 32 (74 games as teammates)
Defense vs forwards
BKN allow 6.6 assists a game to forwards: 25th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 30.6 min · 2026–27: 28.8 (8 games)

75%6 of 8L20 · Without Knueppel

Over 1.5 Assists cleared in 6 of 8 games without Kon Knueppel (his last 20 games).

vs ORL, 2026-03-19: 1, missed, 24 min (not counted)
vs MEM, 2026-03-21: 3, cleared, 33 min (not counted)
vs SAC, 2026-03-24: 2, cleared, 24 min (not counted)
vs NY, 2026-03-26: 3, cleared, 30 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-03-28: 2, cleared, 25 min (not counted)
vs BOS, 2026-03-29: 0, missed, 25 min (not counted)
at BKN, 2026-03-31: 1, missed, 27 min (not counted)
vs PHX, 2026-04-02: 1, missed, 25 min (not counted)
at MIN, 2026-04-05: 4, cleared, 24 min (not counted)
at BOS, 2026-04-07: 5, cleared, 33 min (not counted)
vs DET, 2026-04-10: 2, cleared, 25 min (not counted)
at NY, 2026-04-12: 3, cleared, 26 min (not counted)
at BKN, 2026-10-21: 2, cleared, 34 min
vs ATL, 2026-10-23: 1, missed, 21 min
vs MIA, 2026-10-24: 2, cleared, 22 min
vs WSH, 2026-10-26: 3, cleared, 35 min
at DET, 2026-10-28: 2, cleared, 35 min
at WSH, 2026-10-30: 1, missed, 31 min
vs PHI, 2026-10-31: 3, cleared, 28 min
vs DET, 2026-11-02: 2, cleared, 24 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–4 assists.

Splits

Over 1.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L20

Brandon MillerF
Naz ReidC
Kon KnueppelGOut
Grant WilliamsFOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Hornets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs BKN

Assists: 2 in 34 min, Oct 21 (away)

Over 1.5 hit in 2 of 8 games against BKN on record

L20 · Without Knueppel · Over 1.5

Average: 2; +0.5 vs line
Median: 2; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 75%; 6 of 8
Price implies: 65%; at −188
Books’ fair: 60%; margin removed
Our chance: 62%; estimate · fair −165

Research, not a pick. At −173 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −165, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Knueppel

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−1882 books	+1312 books	6/8
+1651 book	—	2/8
+4162 books	—	0/8
+9901 book	—	0/8
+20002 books	—	0/8

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
DraftKings16 min ago	−173Best	+131
FanDuel5 min ago	−188	+140Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 3:44 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: −192 → −188 since first seen

Moussa Diabate's full game log and splits