Moritz Wagner

Brooklyn Nets · C · #13

CHA @ BKN · Today 7:30 PM

Over Under4.5

Over 4.5 Rebounds, typical price +1134 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 4.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayMinutes
Last 5: 20.2 min · 2025–26: 11.6 (38 games) · up 74%
Teammate out
Egor Demin: Out (leg)
Over 4.5 without him: 2 of 3; with him: 0 of 4 (7 games as teammates)
New team
7 games with BKN; before that, ORL
Over 4.5 with BKN: 2 of 7; his last 10 games before: 0 of 10
Defense vs centers
CHA allow 6.6 rebounds a game to centers: 26th most of 30
8 games

20%2 of 10L10

Over 4.5 Rebounds cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 at home).

vs MIN, 2026-04-08: 4, missed, 7 min
at DET, 2026-04-22: 1, missed, 3 min
at DET, 2026-05-03: 2, missed, 10 min
vs CHA, 2026-10-21: 0, missed, 16 min
at CLE, 2026-10-24: 4, missed, 14 min
vs IND, 2026-10-25: 3, missed, 15 min
at BOS, 2026-10-27: 4, missed, 22 min
vs DET, 2026-10-30: 8, cleared, 23 min
at IND, 2026-11-01: 6, cleared, 21 min
at NY, 2026-11-02: 1, missed, 20 min

ClearedMissedThe 4.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 4.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 4.5 · L10

Julius RandleF
Michael Porter Jr.F
Mikel Brown Jr.G
Egor DeminGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Nets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CHA

Rebounds: 0 in 16 min, Oct 21 (home)

Over 4.5 hit in 4 of 9 games against CHA on record

L10 · Over 4.5

Average: 3.3; −1.2 vs line
Median: 3.5; −1 vs line
Hit rate: 20%; 2 of 10
Price implies: 47%; at +113
Books’ fair: 44%; margin removed
Minutes: 15.1; 10 games · 11.6 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 4.5 44%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−5002 books	—	6/10
−1803 books	+1351 book	5/10
+1134 books	−1504 books	2/10
+2162 books	—	2/10
+3752 books	—	1/10
+6602 books	—	1/10
+11201 book	—	0/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 4.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 4.5 Rebounds, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 4.5	Under 4.5
Pinnacle14 min ago	+116Best	−154
Bovada13 min ago	+115	−150
DraftKings14 min ago	+113	−149
FanDuel8 min ago	+112	−148Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 3:14 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

4.5

+114 → +113 since first seen

Moritz Wagner's full game log and splits