Miles Bridges

Phoenix Suns · F · #22

POR @ PHX · Live

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Steals, typical price −2451 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Steals cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).

vs IND, 2026-04-03: 0, missed, 26 min
at MIN, 2026-04-05: 0, missed, 34 min
at BOS, 2026-04-07: 0, missed, 32 min
vs DET, 2026-04-10: 0, missed, 23 min
at NY, 2026-04-12: 0, missed, 24 min
at POR, 2026-10-21: 1, cleared, 29 min
vs GS, 2026-10-24: 1, cleared, 33 min
at OKC, 2026-10-26: 1, cleared, 32 min
vs DEN, 2026-10-30: 1, cleared, 37 min
at GS, 2026-11-02: 4, cleared, 35 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 0–2 steals.

What's different yesterday

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Mark Williams: Out (shoulder)
Over 0.5 without him: 5 of 5; with him: no games (5 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jordan Goodwin: Out (calf)
Over 0.5 without him: no games; with him: 5 of 5 (5 games as teammates)
New team
5 games with PHX; before that, CHA
Over 0.5 with PHX: 5 of 5; his last 10 games before: 2 of 10
Defense vs forwards
POR allow 3.7 steals a game to forwards: 8th most of 30
6 games

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Devin BookerG
Jalen GreenG
Dillon BrooksF
Mark WilliamsCOut
Jordan GoodwinGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Suns count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs POR

Steals: 1 in 29 min, Oct 21 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 4 of 5 games against POR on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.8; +0.3 vs line
Median: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 71%; at −245
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Our chance: 60%; estimate · fair −149

Research, not a pick. At −245 the price is worse than our fair −149, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2451 book	pick'em only	5/10
+1801 book	—	1/10
+5251 book	—	1/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Steals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bally Bet16 hr ago	−245Best	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:10 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

1.5 → 0.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

Miles Bridges's full game log and splits

This page last updated 9:13 PM ET.