Max ChristieDay-To-Day

Dallas Mavericks · G · #0

UTAH @ DAL · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under3.5

Under 3.5 Rebounds, typical price −1776 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Under 3.5 Rebounds hit in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).

at PHX, 2026-04-08: 2, hit, 33 min
at SA, 2026-04-10: 1, hit, 31 min
vs CHI, 2026-04-12: 1, hit, 13 min
at HOU, 2026-10-21: 3, hit, 29 min
at IND, 2026-10-23: 4, missed, 38 min
vs SA, 2026-10-24: 5, missed, 26 min
at MIA, 2026-10-26: 5, missed, 26 min
vs OKC, 2026-10-28: 5, missed, 22 min
vs HOU, 2026-10-30: 1, hit, 18 min
vs SAC, 2026-11-02: 2, hit, 8 min

Under hitMissedThe 3.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–6.3 rebounds.

What's different today

Under 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayMinutes
Last 5: 20 min · 2025–26: 29.1 (77 games) · down 31%
Teammate out
Dereck Lively II: Out (foot)
Under 3.5 without him: 47 of 77; with him: 4 of 7 (84 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
UTAH allow 14.6 rebounds a game to guards: 22nd most of 30
8 games
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at SA
Christie sat the last game (Nov 4)

Splits

Under 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against UTAH in his last 10; Under 3.5 hit in 3 of 6 against UTAH on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 3.5 · L10

Cooper FlaggF
Kyrie IrvingG
Naji MarshallF
Dereck Lively IICOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Mavericks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs UTAH

Rebounds: 2 in 26 min, Jan 17 (home)

Under 3.5 hit in 3 of 6 games against UTAH on record

L10 · Under 3.5

Average: 2.9; −0.6 vs line
Median: 2.5; −1 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 64%; at −177
Books’ fair: 60%; margin removed
Our chance: 59%; estimate · fair −145

Research, not a pick. At −165 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −145, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−5003 books	—	3/10
−1881 book	pick'em only	5/10
+1306 books	−1775 books	6/10
+2671 book	—	7/10
+4605 books	—	10/10
+10601 book	—	10/10
+19002 books	—	10/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 3.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Rebounds, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 3.5	Under 3.5
DraftKings5 min ago	+125	−165Best
betPARX4 min ago	+130	−177
BetRivers4 min ago	+130	−177
FanDuel4 min ago	+134	−180
Pinnacle5 min ago	+160Best	−218
Bally Bet4 min ago	+130	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:14 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

Under: −130 → −177 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

Max Christie's full game log and splits