Max ChristieDay-To-Day
UTAH @ DAL · Today 8:00 PM
Game log against Under 3.5
60%6 of 10L10
Under 3.5 Rebounds hit in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–6.3 rebounds.
What's different today
Under 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayMinutes
Last 5: 20 min · 2025–26: 29.1 (77 games) · down 31%
Teammate out
Dereck Lively II: Out (foot)
Under 3.5 without him: 47 of 77; with him: 4 of 7 (84 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
UTAH allow 14.6 rebounds a game to guards: 22nd most of 30
8 games
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at SA
Christie sat the last game (Nov 4)
Splits
Under 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against UTAH in his last 10; Under 3.5 hit in 3 of 6 against UTAH on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 3.5 · L10Cooper FlaggF
Kyrie IrvingG
Naji MarshallF
Dereck Lively IICOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Mavericks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs UTAH
Rebounds: 2 in 26 min, Jan 17 (home)
Under 3.5 hit in 3 of 6 games against UTAH on record
L10 · Under 3.5
- Average
- 2.9
- −0.6 vs line
- Median
- 2.5
- −1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 66%
- at −195
- Books’ fair
- 61%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 60%
- estimate · fair −149
Research, not a pick. At −165 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −149, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −4353 books | — | 3/10 | |
| −1852 books | +1222 books | 5/10 | |
| +1407 books | −1955 books | 6/10 | |
| +2402 books | — | 7/10 | |
| +5105 books | — | 10/10 | |
| +8502 books | — | 10/10 | |
| +21001 book | — | 10/10 |
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 3.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada7 min ago | +125 | −165Best |
| FanDuel2 min ago | +144 | −194 |
| betPARX3 min ago | +140 | −195 |
| BetRivers3 min ago | +140 | −195 |
| Pinnacle7 min ago | +160Best | −218 |
| Bally Bet7 min ago | +140 | — |
| DraftKings7 min ago | +146 | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:48 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
3.5Under: −130 → −195 since first seen