Luka Doncic

Los Angeles Lakers · G · #77

LAL @ SAC · Live

Over Under2.5

—1 pick'em app, no priceUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Under 2.5 Steals+Blocks hit in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 3 on the road).

vs BKN, 2026-03-27: 4, missed, 39 min
vs CLE, 2026-03-31: 2, hit, 34 min
at OKC, 2026-04-02: 1, hit, 26 min
vs GS, 2026-10-21: 3, missed, 30 min
vs LAC, 2026-10-23: 1, hit, 37 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-25: 2, hit, 38 min
vs POR, 2026-10-27: 1, hit, 37 min
at GS, 2026-10-30: 3, missed, 37 min
vs TOR, 2026-11-01: 6, missed, 35 min
vs MIA, 2026-11-02: 2, hit, 36 min

Under hitMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 1–5 steals+blocks.

What's different yesterday

Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Minutes
Last 5: 36.6 min · 2025–26: 35.8 (64 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs MIA
Pace · possessions a game · 7 games
SAC 7th, LAL 18th of 30
SAC injuries
Maxime Raynaud (C, Out, 31.8 min); Keegan Murray (F, Out, 27.5 min); Daeqwon Plowden (G, Out, 19.4 min)
A player's role: his average over his last games played (up to 10)

Splits

Under 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against SAC in his last 10; Under 2.5 hit in 3 of 6 against SAC on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 2.5 · L10

Austin ReavesG
Walker KesslerC
Collin SextonG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Lakers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs SAC

Steals+Blocks: 2 in 29 min, Mar 1 (home)

Under 2.5 hit in 3 of 6 games against SAC on record

L10 · Under 2.5

Average: 2.5; ±0 vs line
Median: 2; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: —; 1 pick'em app, no price
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Our chance: 56%; estimate · fair −129

Research, not a pick. No sportsbook prices the Under 2.5 right now; it's posted on 1 pick'em app. Our fair price is −129.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−12501 book	—	0/10
−2252 books	—	3/10
+1322 books	pick'em only	6/10
+3201 book	—	8/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Steals+Blocks, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
Bally Bet9 hr ago	+132Best	—
betPARX9 hr ago	+132Best	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 10:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Under isn't priced at 2.5 right now.

What moved our number

Pace+1%

Luka Doncic's full game log and splits

This page last updated 10:13 PM ET.