Luka Doncic

Los Angeles Lakers · G · #77

LAL @ SAC · Today 10:00 PM

Over Under4.5

Over 4.5 3-Pointers Made, typical price +1063 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 4.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs guards
SAC allow 6.4 threes made a game to guards: 24th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 36.6 min · 2025–26: 35.8 (64 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs MIA
Game lines
LAL −11.5 · total 234.5 (7 sportsbooks)
LAL's games this season closed at 231.5 on average (8 games)

80%8 of 10L10

Over 4.5 3-Pointers Made cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (2 of 3 on the road).

vs BKN, 2026-03-27: 5, cleared, 39 min
vs CLE, 2026-03-31: 6, cleared, 34 min
at OKC, 2026-04-02: 1, missed, 26 min
vs GS, 2026-10-21: 5, cleared, 30 min
vs LAC, 2026-10-23: 2, missed, 37 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-25: 8, cleared, 38 min
vs POR, 2026-10-27: 6, cleared, 37 min
at GS, 2026-10-30: 6, cleared, 37 min
vs TOR, 2026-11-01: 8, cleared, 35 min
vs MIA, 2026-11-02: 6, cleared, 36 min

ClearedMissedThe 4.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 4.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against SAC in his last 10; Over 4.5 cleared in 1 of 6 against SAC on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 4.5 · L10

Austin ReavesG
Walker KesslerC
Collin SextonG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Lakers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs SAC

3-Pointers Made: 4 in 29 min, Mar 1 (home)

Over 4.5 hit in 1 of 6 games against SAC on record

L10 · Over 4.5

Average: 5.3; +0.8 vs line
Median: 6; +1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 49%; at +106
Books’ fair: 45%; margin removed
Minutes: 34.9; 10 games · 35.8 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 4.5 45%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−35002 books	—	9/10
−5902 books	—	8/10
−2202 books	—	8/10
+1063 books	−1403 books	8/10
+2062 books	—	6/10
+3872 books	—	2/10
+6902 books	—	2/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 4.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 4.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 4.5	Under 4.5
DraftKings5 min ago	+112Best	−147
Pinnacle5 min ago	+106	−140
FanDuel5 min ago	+104	−138Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 2:09 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

4.5

Over +104 → +106 since first seen

Luka Doncic's full game log and splits