Luguentz Dort

Atlanta Hawks · G · #0

ATL @ WSH · Tomorrow 7:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made, typical price −1142 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Under 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightDefense vs guards
WSH allow 5.4 threes made a game to guards: 29th most of 30
7 games
Teammate out
Jock Landale: Out (hip)
Under 1.5 without him: 0 of 1; with him: 5 of 7 (8 games as teammates). A small sample.
New team
8 games with ATL; before that, OKC
Under 1.5 with ATL: 5 of 8; his last 10 games before: 8 of 10
Minutes
Last 5: 25.4 min · 2026–27: 24.6 (8 games)

70%7 of 10L10

Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made hit in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 on the road).

at SA, 2026-05-28: 1, hit, 23 min
vs SA, 2026-05-30: 1, hit, 16 min
at ORL, 2026-10-21: 2, missed, 28 min
at CHA, 2026-10-23: 1, hit, 19 min
vs HOU, 2026-10-24: 1, hit, 23 min
at HOU, 2026-10-26: 0, hit, 21 min
vs MIA, 2026-10-28: 2, missed, 24 min
vs CLE, 2026-10-29: 1, hit, 22 min
at NO, 2026-10-31: 1, hit, 29 min
at IND, 2026-11-02: 4, missed, 31 min

Under hitMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 0–3 3-pointers made.

Splits

Under 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against WSH in his last 10; Under 1.5 hit in 3 of 3 against WSH on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 1.5 · L10

Jalen JohnsonFDay-To-Day
Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG
CJ McCollumG
Jock LandaleCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Hawks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs WSH

Dort didn't play the Feb 26 meeting; 3-pointers made the last time Dort faced them: 1 (Oct 30, 2025)

Under 1.5 hit in 3 of 3 games against WSH on record

L10 · Under 1.5

Average: 1.4; −0.1 vs line
Median: 1; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −114
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −133

Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −133, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−5012 books	—	1/10
−1142 books	−1142 books	7/10
+2682 books	—	9/10
+6852 books	—	9/10
+16272 books	—	10/10
+26001 book	—	10/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
FanDuel3 min ago	−114Best	−114Best
DraftKings8 min ago	−114Best	−115
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 11:33 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Under −118 → −114 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

Luguentz Dort's full game log and splits