LaMelo Ball

Minnesota Timberwolves · G · #1

MIN @ NO · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Steals, typical price −1302 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%3 of 5L20 · Without Edwards

Over 1.5 Steals cleared in 3 of 5 games without Anthony Edwards (his last 20 games).

vs SAC, 2026-03-24: 2, cleared, 23 min (not counted)
vs NY, 2026-03-26: 0, missed, 36 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-03-28: 1, missed, 37 min (not counted)
vs BOS, 2026-03-29: 1, missed, 26 min (not counted)
at BKN, 2026-03-31: 0, missed, 28 min (not counted)
vs PHX, 2026-04-02: 1, missed, 25 min (not counted)
vs IND, 2026-04-03: 2, cleared, 30 min (not counted)
at MIN, 2026-04-05: 1, missed, 31 min (not counted)
at BOS, 2026-04-07: 1, missed, 37 min (not counted)
vs DET, 2026-04-10: 2, cleared, 33 min (not counted)
at NY, 2026-04-12: 2, cleared, 29 min (not counted)
at MIA, 2026-10-21: 2, cleared, 28 min (not counted)
at ORL, 2026-10-23: 2, cleared, 23 min (not counted)
vs TOR, 2026-10-25: 2, cleared, 17 min (not counted)
at CLE, 2026-10-26: 1, missed, 31 min (not counted)
vs GS, 2026-10-28: 1, missed, 28 min
vs LAC, 2026-10-30: 2, cleared, 29 min
at SA, 2026-10-31: 3, cleared, 20 min
vs MIL, 2026-11-02: 1, missed, 33 min
at HOU, 2026-11-04: 3, cleared, 31 min

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different today

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

4 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came with Anthony Edwards playing; Edwards is out today. Without him: Over 1.5 in 3 of 5.

TodayTeammate out
Anthony Edwards: Out (knee)
Over 1.5 without him: 3 of 5; with him: 3 of 4 (9 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Donte DiVincenzo: Out (achilles)
Over 1.5 without him: 6 of 9; with him: no games (9 games as teammates)
New team
9 games with MIN; before that, CHA
Over 1.5 with MIN: 6 of 9; his last 10 games before: 3 of 10
Defense vs guards
NO allow 5.3 steals a game to guards: 9th most of 30
8 games

Splits

Over 1.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against NO in his last 20; Over 1.5 cleared in 3 of 3 against NO on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 1.5 · L20

Anthony EdwardsGOut
Jaden McDanielsF
Ayo DosunmuG
Donte DiVincenzoGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Timberwolves count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NO

Ball didn't play the Apr 12 meeting; steals the last time Ball faced them: 2 (Feb 2)

Over 1.5 hit in 3 of 3 games against NO on record

L20 · Without Edwards · Over 1.5

Average: 2; +0.5 vs line
Median: 2; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 3 of 5
Price implies: 57%; at −130
Books’ fair: 43%; margin removed
Minutes: 28.2; 5 games · 28 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 43%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Edwards

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−5992 books	—	5/5
−1302 books	−1581 book	3/5
+2282 books	—	2/5
+6102 books	—	0/5
+13201 book	—	0/5
+24001 book	—	0/5

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Steals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
FanDuel1 min ago	+118Best	−158Best
DraftKings10 min ago	−130	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 8:23 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: −125 → −130 since first seen

LaMelo Ball's full game log and splits