LaMelo Ball

Minnesota Timberwolves · G · #1

MIN @ NO · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under21.5

Over 21.5 Points, typical price −1103 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

40%2 of 5L20 · Without Edwards

Over 21.5 Points cleared in 2 of 5 games without Anthony Edwards (his last 20 games).

vs SAC, 2026-03-24: 20, missed, 23 min (not counted)
vs NY, 2026-03-26: 22, cleared, 36 min (not counted)
vs PHI, 2026-03-28: 20, missed, 37 min (not counted)
vs BOS, 2026-03-29: 19, missed, 26 min (not counted)
at BKN, 2026-03-31: 14, missed, 28 min (not counted)
vs PHX, 2026-04-02: 15, missed, 25 min (not counted)
vs IND, 2026-04-03: 18, missed, 30 min (not counted)
at MIN, 2026-04-05: 35, cleared, 31 min (not counted)
at BOS, 2026-04-07: 36, cleared, 37 min (not counted)
vs DET, 2026-04-10: 27, cleared, 33 min (not counted)
at NY, 2026-04-12: 19, missed, 29 min (not counted)
at MIA, 2026-10-21: 21, missed, 28 min (not counted)
at ORL, 2026-10-23: 12, missed, 23 min (not counted)
vs TOR, 2026-10-25: 15, missed, 17 min (not counted)
at CLE, 2026-10-26: 11, missed, 31 min (not counted)
vs GS, 2026-10-28: 8, missed, 28 min
vs LAC, 2026-10-30: 24, cleared, 29 min
at SA, 2026-10-31: 10, missed, 20 min
vs MIL, 2026-11-02: 34, cleared, 33 min
at HOU, 2026-11-04: 20, missed, 31 min

ClearedMissedThe 21.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different today

Over 21.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Anthony Edwards: Out (knee)
Over 21.5 without him: 2 of 5; with him: 0 of 4 (9 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Donte DiVincenzo: Out (achilles)
Over 21.5 without him: 2 of 9; with him: no games (9 games as teammates)
New team
9 games with MIN; before that, CHA
Over 21.5 with MIN: 2 of 9; his last 10 games before: 4 of 10
Defense vs guards
NO allow 60.1 points a game to guards: 9th most of 30
8 games

Splits

Over 21.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against NO in his last 20; Over 21.5 cleared in 3 of 3 against NO on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 21.5 · L20

Anthony EdwardsGOut
Jaden McDanielsF
Ayo DosunmuG
Donte DiVincenzoGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Timberwolves count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NO

Ball didn't play the Apr 12 meeting; points the last time Ball faced them: 24 (Feb 2)

Over 21.5 hit in 3 of 3 games against NO on record

L20 · Without Edwards · Over 21.5

Average: 19.2; −2.3 vs line
Median: 20; −1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 2 of 5
Price implies: 52%; at −110
Books’ fair: 49%; margin removed
Minutes: 28.2; 5 games · 28 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 21.5 49%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Edwards

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−2151 book	+1601 book	3/5
−1623 books	+1301 book	3/5
−1351 book	+1051 book	2/5
−1103 books	−1203 books	2/5
+1151 book	−1501 book	2/5
+1401 book	−1851 book	2/5
+1703 books	−2301 book	1/5

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 21.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 21.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 21.5	Under 21.5
FanDuel5 min ago	−104Best	−128
Bovada15 min ago	−110	−120
DraftKings15 min ago	−110	−116Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:25 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

21.5

20.5 → 21.5 since first seen

LaMelo Ball's full game log and splits