Kyle Kuzma

Milwaukee Bucks · F · #18

TOR @ MIL · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Steals, typical price −1303 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Steals cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 at home).

vs MEM, 2026-04-05: 1, cleared, 22 min
vs BKN, 2026-04-10: 0, missed, 21 min
at WSH, 2026-10-21: 3, cleared, 27 min
vs CHI, 2026-10-23: 0, missed, 30 min
at PHI, 2026-10-24: 0, missed, 35 min
vs IND, 2026-10-26: 0, missed, 29 min
vs HOU, 2026-10-28: 1, cleared, 18 min
vs CLE, 2026-10-31: 1, cleared, 23 min
at MIN, 2026-11-02: 1, cleared, 22 min
at BOS, 2026-11-04: 1, cleared, 27 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 steals.

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs forwards
TOR allow 3.5 steals a game to forwards: 10th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 23.8 min · 2026–27: 26.4 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at BOS
Game lines
MIL +4.5 · total 229.5 (8 sportsbooks)
MIL's games this season closed at 234 on average (8 games)

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against TOR in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 1 of 6 against TOR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Tyler HerroG
Kevin Porter Jr.G
Ryan RollinsG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Bucks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs TOR

Steals: 0 in 18 min, Feb 22 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 1 of 6 games against TOR on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.8; +0.3 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 57%; at −130
Books’ fair: 53%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −131

Research, not a pick. At −130 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −131, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	−1303 books	−1041 book	6/10
	+3403 books	—	1/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Steals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bally Bet6 min ago	−130Best	—
betPARX5 min ago	−130Best	−104Best
BetRivers6 min ago	−130Best	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 3:15 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: No move since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+2%

Kyle Kuzma's full game log and splits