Kyle Kuzma
MIL @ MIN · Mon, Nov 2 8:00 PM
Game log against Under 5.5
30%3 of 10L10
Under 5.5 Rebounds hit in 3 of his last 10 games (0 of 2 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 1.3–8.4 rebounds.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Under 5.5
- Average
- 6.1
- +0.6 vs line
- Median
- 6
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 30%
- 3 of 10
- Price implies
- 60%
- at −147
- Books’ fair
- 56%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −130
Research, not a pick. At −136 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −130, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −3853 books | — | 2/10 | |
| −1863 books | +1021 book | 3/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 3/10 | |
| +1104 books | −1472 books | 3/10 | |
| +1803 books | — | 6/10 | |
| +2953 books | — | 8/10 | |
| +4753 books | — | 8/10 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 5.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 5.5 | Under 5.5 |
|---|---|---|
| betPARX14 hr ago | +102 | −136Best |
| Pinnacle14 hr ago | +119 | −159 |
| Bally Bet14 hr ago | +102 | — |
| DraftKings14 hr ago | +136Best | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
5.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+2%
This page last updated 8:12 PM ET.