Kyle Kuzma
MIL @ BOS · LiveGame log against Over 0.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 0.5 3-Pointers Made cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (1 of 3 on the road).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–3 3-pointers made.
What's different today
Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayDefense vs forwards
BOS allow 6.7 threes made a game to forwards: the most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 25.4 min · 2025–26: 26.2 (69 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at MIN
Pace · possessions a game · 7 games
BOS 19th, MIL 6th of 30
Splits
Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 0.5 · L10Tyler HerroG
Kevin Porter Jr.G
Ryan RollinsG
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Bucks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs BOS
3-Pointers Made: 2 in 25 min, Apr 3 (home)
Over 0.5 hit in 5 of 6 games against BOS on record
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 1.2
- +0.7 vs line
- Median
- 1
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 70%
- at −235
- Books’ fair
- 63%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 67%
- estimate · fair −202
Research, not a pick. At −205 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −202, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2352 books | +1541 book | 6/10 | |
| +1802 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +5252 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +17801 book | — | 1/10 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings3 hr ago | −205Best | +154Best |
| Bally Bet3 hr ago | −235 | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:41 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.51.5 → 0.5 since first seen
This page last updated 7:43 PM ET.


