Kyle Kuzma

Milwaukee Bucks · F · #18

TOR @ MIL · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made, typical price −2006 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made hit in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 at home).

vs MEM, 2026-04-05: 0, hit, 22 min
vs BKN, 2026-04-10: 1, hit, 21 min
at WSH, 2026-10-21: 1, hit, 27 min
vs CHI, 2026-10-23: 2, missed, 30 min
at PHI, 2026-10-24: 0, hit, 35 min
vs IND, 2026-10-26: 4, missed, 29 min
vs HOU, 2026-10-28: 0, hit, 18 min
vs CLE, 2026-10-31: 2, missed, 23 min
at MIN, 2026-11-02: 0, hit, 22 min
at BOS, 2026-11-04: 1, hit, 27 min

Under hitMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–3 3-pointers made.

What's different today

Under 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs forwards
TOR allow 3.8 threes made a game to forwards: 25th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 23.8 min · 2026–27: 26.4 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 at BOS
Game lines
MIL +4.5 · total 229.5 (8 sportsbooks)
MIL's games this season closed at 234 on average (8 games)

Splits

Under 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against TOR in his last 10; Under 1.5 hit in 5 of 6 against TOR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 1.5 · L10

Tyler HerroG
Kevin Porter Jr.G
Ryan RollinsG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Bucks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs TOR

3-Pointers Made: 0 in 18 min, Feb 22 (home)

Under 1.5 hit in 5 of 6 games against TOR on record

L10 · Under 1.5

Average: 1.1; −0.4 vs line
Median: 1; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 67%; at −200
Books’ fair: 62%; margin removed
Our chance: 62%; estimate · fair −161

Research, not a pick. At −188 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −161, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−3103 books	—	4/10
+1436 books	−2005 books	7/10
+4206 books	—	9/10
+12003 books	—	9/10
+28002 books	—	10/10
+45001 book	—	10/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
FanDuel3 min ago	+140	−188Best
betPARX2 min ago	+143	−195
BetRivers3 min ago	+143	−200
DraftKings4 min ago	+158	−210
Bovada3 min ago	+160Best	−215
Bally Bet4 min ago	+143	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 2:24 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

0.5 → 1.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+2%

Kyle Kuzma's full game log and splits