Keyonte George
UTAH @ DAL · Today 8:00 PMGame log against Under 6.5
90%9 of 10L20 · Without Jackson
Under 6.5 Assists hit in 9 of 10 games without Jaren Jackson Jr. (his last 20 games).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 2–8 assists.
What's different today
Under 6.5 · facts from past games, not a pick2 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came with Jaren Jackson Jr. playing; Jackson is out today. Without him: Under 6.5 in 9 of 10.
TodayTeammate out
Jaren Jackson Jr.: Out (knee)
Under 6.5 without him: 9 of 10; with him: 3 of 5 (15 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jusuf Nurkic: Out (foot)
Under 6.5 without him: 16 of 24; with him: 16 of 38 (62 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
DAL allow 16.1 assists a game to guards: 13th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 33 min · 2026–27: 32.4 (8 games)
Splits
Under 6.5 · L20 · counts, not in orderNo game against DAL in his last 20; Under 6.5 hit in 8 of 11 against DAL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Under 6.5 · L20Lauri MarkkanenF
Ace BaileyG
Jaren Jackson Jr.FOut
Jusuf NurkicCOut
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Jazz count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs DAL
Assists: 6 in 37 min, Jan 17 (away)
Under 6.5 hit in 8 of 11 games against DAL on record
L20 · Without Jackson · Under 6.5
- Average
- 3.5
- −3 vs line
- Median
- 3.5
- −3 vs line
- Hit rate
- 90%
- 9 of 10
- Price implies
- 61%
- at −154
- Books’ fair
- 56%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 64%
- estimate · fair −181
Research, not a pick. At −148 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −181, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L20 · Without Jackson| Line | Over | Under | L20 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −8354 books | — | 5/10 | |
| −3353 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −1674 books | pick'em only | 9/10 | |
| +1105 books | −1544 books | 9/10 | |
| +1904 books | — | 9/10 | |
| +3203 books | — | 9/10 | |
| +5254 books | — | 10/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 6.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 6.5 | Under 6.5 |
|---|---|---|
| betPARX4 min ago | +110 | −148Best |
| BetRivers3 min ago | +110 | −148Best |
| FanDuel4 min ago | +116 | −154 |
| Pinnacle5 min ago | +122Best | −162 |
| Bally Bet5 min ago | +110 | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 2:16 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
6.5−162 → −154 since first seen


