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Keyonte George

Utah Jazz · G · #3

UTAH @ DAL · Today 8:00 PM
OverUnder6.5
Under 6.5 Assists, typical price −1545 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Under 6.5

90%9 of 10L20 · Without Jackson

Under 6.5 Assists hit in 9 of 10 games without Jaren Jackson Jr. (his last 20 games).

  1. vs MIN, 2026-01-20: 3, hit, 39 min (not counted)
  2. vs SA, 2026-01-22: 5, hit, 35 min (not counted)
  3. vs MIA, 2026-01-24: 5, hit, 36 min (not counted)
  4. vs GS, 2026-01-28: 7, missed, 33 min (not counted)
  5. vs BKN, 2026-01-30: 7, missed, 32 min (not counted)
  6. at ORL, 2026-02-07: 1, hit, 13 min (not counted)
  7. vs NO, 2026-02-28: 4, hit, 23 min
  8. vs DEN, 2026-03-02: 2, hit, 30 min
  9. at PHI, 2026-03-04: 2, hit, 30 min
  10. at MIL, 2026-03-07: 4, hit, 29 min
  11. vs GS, 2026-03-09: 2, hit, 24 min
  12. vs NY, 2026-03-11: 5, hit, 20 min
  13. at MEM, 2026-10-21: 5, hit, 29 min (not counted)
  14. vs NO, 2026-10-23: 10, missed, 32 min (not counted)
  15. vs LAL, 2026-10-25: 10, missed, 33 min (not counted)
  16. vs MEM, 2026-10-26: 6, hit, 33 min (not counted)
  17. vs SA, 2026-10-28: 3, hit, 37 min
  18. vs POR, 2026-10-31: 4, hit, 29 min
  19. at SA, 2026-11-02: 0, hit, 22 min
  20. at NO, 2026-11-04: 9, missed, 44 min
Under hitMissedThe 6.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 2–8 assists.

What's different today

Under 6.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

2 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came with Jaren Jackson Jr. playing; Jackson is out today. Without him: Under 6.5 in 9 of 10.

  • TodayTeammate out

    Jaren Jackson Jr.: Out (knee)

    Under 6.5 without him: 9 of 10; with him: 3 of 5 (15 games as teammates)

  • Teammate out

    Jusuf Nurkic: Out (foot)

    Under 6.5 without him: 16 of 24; with him: 16 of 38 (62 games as teammates)

  • Defense vs guards

    DAL allow 16.1 assists a game to guards: 13th most of 30

    8 games

  • Minutes

    Last 5: 33 min · 2026–27: 32.4 (8 games)

Splits

Under 6.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against DAL in his last 20; Under 6.5 hit in 8 of 11 against DAL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 6.5 · L20
  • Lauri MarkkanenF

  • Ace BaileyG

  • Jaren Jackson Jr.FOut

  • Jusuf NurkicCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Jazz count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DAL

Assists: 6 in 37 min, Jan 17 (away)

Under 6.5 hit in 8 of 11 games against DAL on record

L20 · Without Jackson · Under 6.5

Average
3.5
−3 vs line
Median
3.5
−3 vs line
Hit rate
90%
9 of 10
Price implies
61%
at −154
Books’ fair
56%
margin removed
Our chance
64%
estimate · fair −181

Research, not a pick. At −148 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −181, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L20 · Without Jackson
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL20
−8354 books—5/10
−3353 books—8/10
−1674 bookspick'em only9/10
+1105 books−1544 books9/10
+1904 books—9/10
+3203 books—9/10
+5254 books—10/10
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 6.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 6.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 6.5Under 6.5
betPARX4 min ago+110−148Best
BetRivers3 min ago+110−148Best
FanDuel4 min ago+116−154
Pinnacle5 min ago+122Best−162
Bally Bet5 min ago+110—
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 2:16 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

6.5

−162 → −154 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%
Keyonte George's full game log and splits