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Keyonte George
UTAH @ SAJazz @ Spurs · Today 8:30 PM ET
The line
Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made
Typical price −1797 sportsbooksbest −170
Game log
Under 2.5Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made hit in 6 of his last 10 games (1 of 3 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 1–4 3-pointers made.
Home and away
L10 · Under 2.5Home
71%
5 of 7
Awaytonight
33%
1 of 3
L10 · Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made
- Average
- 2.3
- −0.2 vs line
- Median
- 2
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 64%
- −179, 7 sportsbooks
- Market’s fair
- 60%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 59%
- estimate · fair −142
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Research, not a pick. At −170 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −142, so it isn't worth it.
Compare 7 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada1 hr ago | +130 | −170Best |
| DraftKings1 hr ago | +129 | −171 |
| Pinnacle1 hr ago | +129 | −172 |
| FanDuel1 hr ago | +144Best | −186 |
| betPARX1 hr ago | +143 | −195 |
| BetRivers1 hr ago | +143 | −200 |
| Bally Bet1 hr ago | +143 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:37 PM ET.
Every posted line
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −11003 books | — | 2/10 | |
| −2056 books | +1751 book | 4/10 | |
| +1437 books | −1796 books | 6/10 | |
| +3406 books | — | 7/10 | |
| +7006 books | — | 8/10 | |
| +14003 books | — | 10/10 | |
| +28003 books | — | 10/10 | |
| +40001 book | — | 10/10 |
What moved our number
Pace+3%