Keyonte George

Utah Jazz · G · #3

UTAH @ DAL · Today 8:00 PM

Over Under2.5

Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made, typical price −1626 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L20 · Without Jackson

Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made hit in 7 of 10 games without Jaren Jackson Jr. (his last 20 games).

vs MIN, 2026-01-20: 6, missed, 39 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-01-22: 4, missed, 35 min (not counted)
vs MIA, 2026-01-24: 0, hit, 36 min (not counted)
vs GS, 2026-01-28: 3, missed, 33 min (not counted)
vs BKN, 2026-01-30: 1, hit, 32 min (not counted)
at ORL, 2026-02-07: 0, hit, 13 min (not counted)
vs NO, 2026-02-28: 1, hit, 23 min
vs DEN, 2026-03-02: 4, missed, 30 min
at PHI, 2026-03-04: 5, missed, 30 min
at MIL, 2026-03-07: 2, hit, 29 min
vs GS, 2026-03-09: 1, hit, 24 min
vs NY, 2026-03-11: 1, hit, 20 min
at MEM, 2026-10-21: 4, missed, 29 min (not counted)
vs NO, 2026-10-23: 3, missed, 32 min (not counted)
vs LAL, 2026-10-25: 2, hit, 33 min (not counted)
vs MEM, 2026-10-26: 0, hit, 33 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-10-28: 5, missed, 37 min
vs POR, 2026-10-31: 0, hit, 29 min
at SA, 2026-11-02: 1, hit, 22 min
at NO, 2026-11-04: 2, hit, 44 min

Under hitMissedThe 2.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–4 3-pointers made.

What's different today

Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Jaren Jackson Jr.: Out (knee)
Under 2.5 without him: 7 of 10; with him: 3 of 5 (15 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Jusuf Nurkic: Out (foot)
Under 2.5 without him: 14 of 24; with him: 21 of 38 (62 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
DAL allow 6.9 threes made a game to guards: 21st most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 33 min · 2026–27: 32.4 (8 games)

Splits

Under 2.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

No game against DAL in his last 20; Under 2.5 hit in 8 of 11 against DAL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 2.5 · L20

Lauri MarkkanenF
Ace BaileyG
Jaren Jackson Jr.FOut
Jusuf NurkicCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Jazz count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DAL

3-Pointers Made: 4 in 37 min, Jan 17 (away)

Under 2.5 hit in 8 of 11 games against DAL on record

L20 · Without Jackson · Under 2.5

Average: 2.2; −0.3 vs line
Median: 1.5; −1 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 62%; at −162
Books’ fair: 57%; margin removed
Our chance: 60%; estimate · fair −151

Research, not a pick. At −152 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −151, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L20 · Without Jackson

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−18002 books	—	1/10
−2405 books	—	5/10
+1206 books	−1625 books	7/10
+2805 books	—	7/10
+6502 books	—	8/10
+13002 books	—	10/10
+25001 book	—	10/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 3-Pointers Made, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 2.5	Under 2.5
FanDuel1 min ago	+114	−152Best
Pinnacle4 min ago	+114	−152Best
betPARX1 min ago	+120	−162
BetRivers1 min ago	+120	−162
DraftKings4 min ago	+129Best	−171
Bally Bet4 min ago	+120	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:48 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Under: −146 → −162 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+3%

Keyonte George's full game log and splits