Kevin Huerter

Detroit Pistons · G · #27

PHI @ DET · Live

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Steals, typical price −1521 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

100%7 of 7L20 · Without Duren

Over 0.5 Steals cleared in 7 of 7 games without Jalen Duren (his last 20 games).

at MIN, 2026-03-28: 1, cleared, 22 min (not counted)
at OKC, 2026-03-30: 1, cleared, 38 min
vs TOR, 2026-03-31: 1, cleared, 22 min (not counted)
vs MIN, 2026-04-02: 0, missed, 22 min (not counted)
at PHI, 2026-04-04: 0, missed, 25 min (not counted)
at ORL, 2026-04-06: 4, cleared, 32 min (not counted)
at CHA, 2026-04-10: 1, cleared, 16 min (not counted)
at IND, 2026-04-12: 3, cleared, 20 min
vs ORL, 2026-04-19: 1, cleared, 18 min (not counted)
vs ORL, 2026-04-22: 0, missed, 6 min (not counted)
at ORL, 2026-04-25: 1, cleared, 15 min (not counted)
at ORL, 2026-04-27: 0, missed, 3 min (not counted)
vs CLE, 2026-05-13: 0, missed, 3 min (not counted)
vs BOS, 2026-10-20: 0, missed, 18 min (not counted)
at MIA, 2026-10-23: 1, cleared, 20 min (not counted)
at PHI, 2026-10-25: 1, cleared, 26 min
at NY, 2026-10-27: 1, cleared, 16 min
vs CHA, 2026-10-28: 1, cleared, 19 min
at BKN, 2026-10-30: 1, cleared, 24 min
at CHA, 2026-11-02: 1, cleared, 20 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 0–2 steals.

What's different yesterday

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

1 of his last 6 came with Jalen Duren playing; Duren is out yesterday. Without him: Over 0.5 in 8 of 9.

YesterdayTeammate out
Jalen Duren: Out (hamstring)
Over 0.5 without him: 8 of 9; with him: 17 of 28 (37 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
PHI allow 3.9 steals a game to guards: 19th most of 30
8 games
Minutes
Last 5: 21 min · 2025–26: 21.6 (74 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at CHA

Splits

Over 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L20

Cade CunninghamG
Jalen DurenCOut
Duncan RobinsonF

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Pistons count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs PHI

Steals: 1 in 26 min, Oct 25 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 4 of 9 games against PHI on record

L20 · Without Duren · Over 0.5

Average: 1.3; +0.8 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 100%; 7 of 7
Price implies: 60%; at −152
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Our chance: 61%; estimate · fair −158

Research, not a pick. At −152 the price beats our fair −158, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Duren

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L20
	−1521 book	pick'em only	7/7
	+2701 book	—	1/7

Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Steals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bally Bet21 hr ago	−152Best	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:13 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: −148 → −152 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

Kevin Huerter's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:13 PM ET.