Kevin Durant

Houston Rockets · F · #7

MIN @ HOU · Today 8:30 PM

Over Under8.5

Over 8.5 Reb+Ast, typical price −1344 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different today

Over 8.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Teammate out
Steven Adams: Out (calf)
Over 8.5 without him: 42 of 55; with him: 23 of 32 (87 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 31.6 min · 2026–27: 33.6 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs BOS
Game lines
HOU −8.5 · total 220.5 (8 sportsbooks)
HOU's games this season closed at 224.5 on average (8 games)

60%6 of 10L10

Over 8.5 Reb+Ast cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).

vs MIN, 2026-04-10: 14, cleared, 39 min
at LAL, 2026-04-21: 10, cleared, 41 min
vs DAL, 2026-10-21: 9, cleared, 37 min
at SA, 2026-10-23: 13, cleared, 37 min
at ATL, 2026-10-24: 6, missed, 37 min
vs ATL, 2026-10-26: 12, cleared, 30 min
at MIL, 2026-10-28: 9, cleared, 31 min
at DAL, 2026-10-30: 6, missed, 37 min
vs OKC, 2026-10-31: 7, missed, 27 min
vs BOS, 2026-11-02: 6, missed, 33 min

ClearedMissedThe 8.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 5.1–14.5 reb+ast.

Splits

Over 8.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 8.5 · L10

Alperen SengunC
Amen ThompsonG
Jabari Smith Jr.F
Steven AdamsCOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Rockets count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIN

Reb+Ast: 14 in 39 min, Apr 10 (home)

Over 8.5 hit in 8 of 12 games against MIN on record

L10 · Over 8.5

Average: 9.2; +0.7 vs line
Median: 9; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 57%; at −134
Books’ fair: 54%; margin removed
Our chance: 59%; estimate · fair −147

Research, not a pick. At −134 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −147, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	−1344 books	+1002 books	6/10
	+1183 books	—	4/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 8.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 8.5 Reb+Ast, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 8.5	Under 8.5
Bally Bet5 min ago	−134Best	—
betPARX5 min ago	−134Best	+100
BetRivers5 min ago	−134Best	—
FanDuel6 min ago	−146	+110Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 12:59 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

8.5

9.5 → 8.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

Kevin Durant's full game log and splits