Keldon Johnson

San Antonio Spurs · F · #3

SA @ SAC · Today 10:00 PM

Over Under4.5

Over 4.5 Rebounds, typical price −1041 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 4.5 Rebounds cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (2 of 3 on the road).

at NY, 2026-06-10: 4, missed, 18 min
vs NY, 2026-06-13: 5, cleared, 16 min
vs OKC, 2026-10-20: 4, missed, 20 min
vs HOU, 2026-10-23: 6, cleared, 19 min
at DAL, 2026-10-24: 6, cleared, 26 min
vs SAC, 2026-10-27: 4, missed, 22 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-28: 6, cleared, 23 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-31: 6, cleared, 24 min
vs UTAH, 2026-11-02: 7, cleared, 27 min
vs DAL, 2026-11-04: 5, cleared, 19 min

ClearedMissedThe 4.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different today

Over 4.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayDefense vs forwards
SAC allow 22.6 rebounds a game to forwards: the most of 30
8 games
TodayGame lines
SA −15.5 · total 229.5 (6 sportsbooks): a big spread
SA's games this season closed at 229 on average (8 games)
Minutes
Last 5: 23 min · 2026–27: 22.5 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 vs DAL

Splits

Over 4.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 4.5 · L10

Victor WembanyamaF
Stephon CastleG
Dylan HarperG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Spurs count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs SAC

Rebounds: 4 in 22 min, Oct 27 (home)

Over 4.5 hit in 2 of 8 games against SAC on record

L10 · Over 4.5

Average: 5.3; +0.8 vs line
Median: 5.5; +1 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 51%; at −104
Books’ fair: 48%; margin removed
Minutes: 21.4; 10 games · 22.1 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 4.5 48%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2151 book	—	10/10
−1041 book	−1281 book	7/10
+1901 book	—	5/10
+6301 book	—	0/10
+15001 book	—	0/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 3 pick'em apps at 4.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 4.5 Rebounds, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 4.5	Under 4.5
FanDuel4 min ago	−104Best	−128Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 4:15 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

4.5

Over: No move since first seen

Keldon Johnson's full game log and splits