Keldon Johnson
UTAH @ SA · Mon, Nov 2 8:30 PM
Game log against Under 14.5
80%8 of 10L10
Under 14.5 Pts+Reb hit in 8 of his last 10 games (5 of 6 at home).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 5.4–21.8 pts+reb.
No matchup, rest or pace facts for this line yet: they come with the next publish.
L10 · Under 14.5
- Average
- 11.6
- −2.9 vs line
- Median
- 12.5
- −2 vs line
- Hit rate
- 80%
- 8 of 10
- Price implies
- 55%
- at −120
- Books’ fair
- 51%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 57%
- estimate · fair −133
Research, not a pick. At −118 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −133, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −4355 books | — | 4/10 | |
| −1901 book | +1451 book | 5/10 | |
| −1312 books | +1012 books | 6/10 | |
| −1145 books | −1203 books | 8/10 | |
| +2655 books | — | 10/10 | |
| +9142 books | — | 10/10 | |
| +22112 books | — | 10/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 14.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 14.5 | Under 14.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings26 hr ago | −111 | −118Best |
| betPARX26 hr ago | −114 | −120 |
| Bovada26 hr ago | −110Best | −120 |
| Bally Bet26 hr ago | −114 | — |
| BetRivers26 hr ago | −114 | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 8:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
14.5No opening line kept for this market yet.
No line history recorded for this market yet.
What moved our number
Pace+3%
This page last updated 8:37 PM ET.