Keldon Johnson

San Antonio Spurs · F · #3

DAL @ SA · Tomorrow 9:30 PM

Over Under8.5

Over 8.5 Points, typical price −1281 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 8.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs forwards
DAL allow 43.0 points a game to forwards: 13th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 24.4 min · 2025–26: 22.1 (106 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs UTAH
Game lines
SA −11.5 · total 226.5 (8 sportsbooks)
SA's games this season closed at 229.4 on average (7 games)

40%4 of 10L10

Over 8.5 Points cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 at home).

at NY, 2026-06-08: 7, missed, 17 min
at NY, 2026-06-10: 2, missed, 18 min
vs NY, 2026-06-13: 7, missed, 16 min
vs OKC, 2026-10-20: 10, cleared, 20 min
vs HOU, 2026-10-23: 8, missed, 19 min
at DAL, 2026-10-24: 7, missed, 26 min
vs SAC, 2026-10-27: 14, cleared, 22 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-28: 9, cleared, 23 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-31: 2, missed, 24 min
vs UTAH, 2026-11-02: 15, cleared, 27 min

ClearedMissedThe 8.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Splits

Over 8.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 8.5 · L10

Victor WembanyamaF
Stephon CastleG
De'Aaron FoxG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Spurs count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs DAL

Points: 7 in 26 min, Oct 24 (away)

Over 8.5 hit in 6 of 10 games against DAL on record

L10 · Over 8.5

Average: 8.1; −0.4 vs line
Median: 7.5; −1 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 56%; at −128
Books’ fair: 52%; margin removed
Minutes: 21.2; 10 games · 22.1 in 2025–26

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 8.5 52%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−5901 book	—	8/10
−4361 book	—	8/10
−2081 book	—	5/10
−1281 book	−1041 book	4/10
+1002 books	−1131 book	3/10
+1551 book	—	2/10
+3922 books	—	1/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 3 pick'em apps at 8.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 8.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 8.5	Under 8.5
FanDuel4 min ago	−128Best	−104Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

8.5

Over −132 → −128 since first seen

Keldon Johnson's full game log and splits