Keaton Wagler

LA Clippers · G · #1

MIA @ LAC · Live

Over Under11.5

Over 11.5 Points, typical price −1202 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

57%4 of 7L7

Over 11.5 Points cleared in 4 of his last 7 games (2 of 3 at home).

vs SAC, 2026-10-21: 15, cleared, 29 min
at LAL, 2026-10-23: 13, cleared, 24 min
at OKC, 2026-10-25: 11, missed, 26 min
vs LAL, 2026-10-28: 21, cleared, 28 min
at MIN, 2026-10-30: 12, cleared, 25 min
at GS, 2026-11-01: 7, missed, 19 min
vs TOR, 2026-11-02: 6, missed, 24 min

ClearedMissedThe 11.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

What's different on Wednesday

Over 11.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

WedDefense vs guards
MIA allow 70.4 points a game to guards: 2nd most of 30
7 games
Teammate out
Jordan Miller: Out (shoulder)
Over 11.5 without him: 4 of 7; with him: no games (7 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Bradley Beal: Out (knee)
Over 11.5 without him: 4 of 7; with him: no games (7 games as teammates)
Minutes
Last 5: 24.4 min · 2026–27: 25 (7 games)

Splits

Over 11.5 · L7 · counts, not in order

No game against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 11.5 · L7

Darius GarlandG
Rui HachimuraF
Brook LopezC
Jordan MillerGOut
Bradley BealGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out on Wednesday. Only games they were teammates on the Clippers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs MIA

Wagler didn't play the Dec 1, 2025 meeting

L7 · Over 11.5

Average: 12.1; +0.6 vs line
Median: 12; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 57%; 4 of 7
Price implies: 55%; at −120
Books’ fair: 47%; margin removed
Minutes: 25; 7 games

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 11.5 47%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L7

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L7
−2901 book	—	5/7
−2002 books	—	5/7
−1481 book	—	5/7
−1202 books	−1271 book	4/7
+1181 book	—	3/7
+1332 books	—	2/7
+2241 book	—	2/7

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 11.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 11.5 Points, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 11.5	Under 11.5
DraftKings34 hr ago	+100Best	−127Best
Bally Bet34 hr ago	−120	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 10:41 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

11.5

+100 → −120 since first seen

Keaton Wagler's full game log and splits

This page last updated 10:43 PM ET.