Julian Champagnie

San Antonio Spurs · F · #30

SA @ SAC · Today 10:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Under 1.5 Steals+Blocks, typical price −1413 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Under 1.5 Steals+Blocks hit in 6 of his last 10 games (1 of 3 on the road).

at NY, 2026-06-10: 4, missed, 33 min
vs NY, 2026-06-13: 1, hit, 31 min
vs OKC, 2026-10-20: 5, missed, 30 min
vs HOU, 2026-10-23: 3, missed, 25 min
at DAL, 2026-10-24: 4, missed, 28 min
vs SAC, 2026-10-27: 0, hit, 25 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-28: 0, hit, 31 min
vs MIN, 2026-10-31: 1, hit, 27 min
vs UTAH, 2026-11-02: 0, hit, 22 min
vs DAL, 2026-11-04: 1, hit, 21 min

Under hitMissedThe 1.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–3 steals+blocks.

What's different today

Under 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayGame lines
SA −17.5 · total 231.5 (7 sportsbooks): a big spread
SA's games this season closed at 229 on average (8 games)
Minutes
Last 5: 25.2 min · 2026–27: 26.1 (8 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 4 vs DAL
Pace · possessions a game · 8 games
SAC 5th, SA 11th of 30

Splits

Under 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Under 1.5 · L10

Victor WembanyamaF
Stephon CastleG
Dylan HarperG

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Spurs count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs SAC

Steals+Blocks: 0 in 25 min, Oct 27 (home)

Under 1.5 hit in 7 of 8 games against SAC on record

L10 · Under 1.5

Average: 1.9; +0.4 vs line
Median: 1; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 59%; at −141
Books’ fair: 54%; margin removed
Our chance: 56%; estimate · fair −130

Research, not a pick. At −141 the price is worse than our fair −130, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−4353 books	—	3/10
+1043 books	−1411 book	6/10
+3003 books	—	6/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Steals+Blocks, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
betPARX3 min ago	+104Best	−141Best
Bally Bet3 min ago	+104Best	—
BetRivers5 min ago	+104Best	—

Prices as of 2:45 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Under isn't priced at 1.5 right now.

What moved our number

Pace+2%

Julian Champagnie's full game log and splits