Jrue Holiday

Portland Trail Blazers · G · #5

POR @ LAL · Today 10:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Steals, typical price −2102 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

77%10 of 13L20 · Without Sharpe

Over 0.5 Steals cleared in 10 of 13 games without Shaedon Sharpe (his last 20 games).

vs DAL, 2026-03-27: 1, cleared, 35 min
vs WSH, 2026-03-29: 0, missed, 22 min
at LAC, 2026-03-31: 2, cleared, 32 min
vs NO, 2026-04-02: 1, cleared, 37 min
at DEN, 2026-04-06: 0, missed, 39 min
at SA, 2026-04-08: 0, missed, 31 min
vs LAC, 2026-04-10: 1, cleared, 32 min (not counted)
vs SAC, 2026-04-12: 0, missed, 33 min (not counted)
at SA, 2026-04-19: 1, cleared, 36 min (not counted)
at SA, 2026-04-21: 1, cleared, 39 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-04-24: 4, cleared, 41 min (not counted)
vs SA, 2026-04-26: 1, cleared, 37 min (not counted)
at SA, 2026-04-28: 0, missed, 40 min (not counted)
vs PHX, 2026-10-21: 2, cleared, 21 min
at SAC, 2026-10-23: 1, cleared, 26 min
at LAL, 2026-10-27: 1, cleared, 30 min
vs MEM, 2026-10-29: 1, cleared, 24 min
at UTAH, 2026-10-31: 1, cleared, 22 min
at DEN, 2026-11-02: 1, cleared, 31 min
at PHX, 2026-11-04: 1, cleared, 28 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 0–2 steals.

What's different today

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TodayTeammate out
Shaedon Sharpe: Out (knee)
Over 0.5 without him: 25 of 35; with him: 21 of 30 (65 games as teammates)
Teammate out
Ja Morant: Out (hamstring)
Over 0.5 without him: 3 of 3; with him: 4 of 4 (7 games as teammates)
Defense vs guards
LAL allow 5.2 steals a game to guards: 10th most of 30
9 games
Minutes
Last 5: 27 min · 2025–26: 30.2 (58 games)

Splits

Over 0.5 · L20 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L20

Deni AvdijaF
Damian LillardG
Shaedon SharpeGOut
Ja MorantGOut

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Trail Blazers count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs LAL

Steals: 1 in 30 min, Oct 27 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 5 of 8 games against LAL on record

L20 · Without Sharpe · Over 0.5

Average: 0.9; +0.4 vs line
Median: 1; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 77%; 10 of 13
Price implies: 68%; at −210
Books’ fair: 63%; margin removed
Our chance: 65%; estimate · fair −186

Research, not a pick. At −207 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −186, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L20 · Without Sharpe

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L20
−2102 books	+1542 books	10/13
+2202 books	—	2/13
+7002 books	—	0/13
+18801 book	—	0/13

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Steals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
DraftKings13 min ago	−207Best	+154Best
FanDuel3 min ago	−210	+154Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 8:55 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

1.5 → 0.5 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+1%

Jrue Holiday's full game log and splits