Josh HartDay-To-Day

New York Knicks · G · #3

CHI @ NY · Tomorrow 7:30 PM

Over Under3.5

Over 3.5 Assists, typical price −1552 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightGame lines
NY −12.5 · total 234 (6 sportsbooks): a big spread
NY's games this season closed at 224.8 on average (7 games)
Defense vs guards
CHI allow 16.7 assists a game to guards: 9th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 31.2 min · 2025–26: 30.7 (86 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs BKN

50%5 of 10L10

Over 3.5 Assists cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 at home).

vs SA, 2026-06-08: 5, cleared, 35 min
vs SA, 2026-06-10: 6, cleared, 33 min
at SA, 2026-06-13: 2, missed, 39 min
vs PHI, 2026-10-20: 3, missed, 30 min
at BOS, 2026-10-23: 5, cleared, 36 min
vs ORL, 2026-10-25: 2, missed, 35 min
vs DET, 2026-10-27: 4, cleared, 27 min
at CHI, 2026-10-28: 3, missed, 36 min
at PHI, 2026-10-30: 3, missed, 31 min
vs BKN, 2026-11-02: 7, cleared, 27 min

ClearedMissedThe 3.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 2–7 assists.

Splits

Over 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 3.5 · L10

Jalen BrunsonG
Karl-Anthony TownsC
OG AnunobyF

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out tonight. Only games they were teammates on the Knicks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs CHI

Assists: 3 in 36 min, Oct 28 (away)

Over 3.5 hit in 4 of 7 games against CHI on record

L10 · Over 3.5

Average: 4; +0.5 vs line
Median: 3.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 61%; at −155
Books’ fair: 57%; margin removed
Our chance: 59%; estimate · fair −147

Research, not a pick. At −153 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −147, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−16001 book	—	10/10
−3591 book	—	8/10
−1552 books	+1172 books	5/10
+1291 book	—	4/10
+2692 books	—	2/10
+4651 book	—	1/10
+9572 books	—	0/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 3.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Assists, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 3.5	Under 3.5
DraftKings3 min ago	−153Best	+116
FanDuel2 min ago	−158	+118Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 11:16 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

−160 → −155 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+2%

Josh Hart's full game log and splits