Josh HartDay-To-Day
CHI @ NY · Today 7:30 PMWhat's different today
Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pickDefense vs guards
CHI allow 16.7 assists a game to guards: 9th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 31.2 min · 2025–26: 30.7 (86 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 vs BKN
Game lines
NY −11.5 · total 232.5 (5 sportsbooks)
NY's games this season closed at 224.8 on average (7 games)
Game log against Over 3.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 3.5 Assists cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 at home).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 2–7 assists.
Splits
Over 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 3.5 · L10Jalen BrunsonG
Karl-Anthony TownsC
OG AnunobyF
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Knicks count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs CHI
Assists: 3 in 36 min, Oct 28 (away)
Over 3.5 hit in 4 of 7 games against CHI on record
L10 · Over 3.5
- Average
- 4
- +0.5 vs line
- Median
- 3.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 60%
- at −147
- Books’ fair
- 56%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 59%
- estimate · fair −144
Research, not a pick. At −145 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −144, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −16001 book | — | 10/10 | |
| −4002 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −1473 books | +1123 books | 5/10 | |
| +1342 books | −2001 book | 4/10 | |
| +2542 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +4722 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +8702 books | — | 0/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 3.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada4 min ago | −145Best | +110 |
| DraftKings4 min ago | −147 | +112 |
| FanDuel4 min ago | −154 | +116Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 4:34 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
3.5−160 → −147 since first seen


