Josh Giddey

Chicago Bulls · G · #3

CHI @ NY · Live

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Steals, typical price −1832 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Steals cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 8 on the road).

at MEM, 2026-03-28: 2, cleared, 35 min
at SA, 2026-03-30: 0, missed, 33 min
at NY, 2026-04-03: 0, missed, 26 min
at TOR, 2026-10-21: 0, missed, 24 min
at MIL, 2026-10-23: 0, missed, 25 min
vs WSH, 2026-10-24: 1, cleared, 30 min
at BOS, 2026-10-26: 1, cleared, 24 min
vs NY, 2026-10-28: 1, cleared, 31 min
at BOS, 2026-10-30: 0, missed, 25 min
at PHI, 2026-11-02: 1, cleared, 32 min

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 linehis 2026–27 minutes

Our model's range for yesterday's game: a typical game lands 0–2 steals.

What's different yesterday

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

YesterdayDefense vs guards
NY allow 3.0 steals a game to guards: 29th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 28.4 min · 2025–26: 32.1 (54 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at PHI
3rd straight road game
Pace · possessions a game · 7 games
NY 25th, CHI 1st of 30

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

With or without

Over 0.5 · L10

Caleb WilsonF
Norman PowellG
Matas BuzelisF

The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out yesterday. Only games they were teammates on the Bulls count; “without” is a game he didn't play.

Last vs NY

Steals: 1 in 31 min, Oct 28 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 8 of 10 games against NY on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.6; +0.1 vs line
Median: 0.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 65%; at −183
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −135

Research, not a pick. At −175 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −135, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1832 books	pick'em only	5/10
+2472 books	—	1/10
+8201 book	—	0/10
+20001 book	—	0/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Steals, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bally Bet8 hr ago	−175Best	—
DraftKings8 hr ago	−183	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 7:41 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: −175 → −183 since first seen

What moved our number

Pace+2%

Josh Giddey's full game log and splits

This page last updated 7:43 PM ET.