Josh Giddey
CHI @ NY · Today 7:30 PMWhat's different today
Over 5.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayGame lines
CHI +12.5 · total 232.5 (6 sportsbooks): a big spread
CHI's games this season closed at 238.2 on average (7 games)
Defense vs guards
NY allow 15.4 rebounds a game to guards: 17th most of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 28.4 min · 2025–26: 32.1 (54 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at PHI
3rd straight road game
Game log against Over 5.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 5.5 Rebounds cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 8 on the road).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 2–10.9 rebounds.
Splits
Over 5.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 5.5 · L10Caleb WilsonF
Norman PowellG
Matas BuzelisF
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Bulls count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs NY
Rebounds: 8 in 31 min, Oct 28 (home)
Over 5.5 hit in 7 of 10 games against NY on record
L10 · Over 5.5
- Average
- 6.1
- +0.6 vs line
- Median
- 6
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 61%
- at −158
- Books’ fair
- 57%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 59%
- estimate · fair −145
Research, not a pick. At −157 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −145, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −18601 book | — | 9/10 | |
| −7202 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −2991 book | — | 6/10 | |
| −1583 books | +1182 books | 5/10 | |
| +1131 book | −1491 book | 5/10 | |
| +1952 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +3221 book | — | 1/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 5.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 5.5 | Under 5.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings3 min ago | −157Best | — |
| FanDuel2 min ago | −158 | +118Best |
| Pinnacle3 min ago | −158 | +118Best |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 2:01 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
5.5No move since first seen


