Josh Giddey
CHI @ NY · Today 7:30 PMWhat's different today
Over 7.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTodayDefense vs guards
NY allow 12.1 assists a game to guards: the fewest of 30
7 games
Minutes
Last 5: 28.4 min · 2025–26: 32.1 (54 games)
Rest
1 day off since Nov 2 at PHI
3rd straight road game
Game lines
CHI +11.5 · total 232.5 (5 sportsbooks)
CHI's games this season closed at 238.2 on average (7 games)
Game log against Over 7.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 7.5 Assists cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 8 on the road).
Our model's range for today's game: a typical game lands 5–13 assists.
Splits
Over 7.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
With or without
Over 7.5 · L10Caleb WilsonF
Norman PowellG
Matas BuzelisF
The three teammates who use the most possessions a game (shots, free throws, turnovers) among those playing 15+ minutes, over their last 20 games, then anyone else in the rotation ruled out today. Only games they were teammates on the Bulls count; “without” is a game he didn't play.
Last vs NY
Assists: 11 in 31 min, Oct 28 (home)
Over 7.5 hit in 5 of 10 games against NY on record
L10 · Over 7.5
- Average
- 8
- +0.5 vs line
- Median
- 9.5
- +2 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 57%
- at −135
- Books’ fair
- 53%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 60%
- estimate · fair −151
Research, not a pick. At −128 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −151, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −20002 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −4642 books | — | 7/10 | |
| −2502 books | +1851 book | 6/10 | |
| −1354 books | −1024 books | 6/10 | |
| +1252 books | −1651 book | 6/10 | |
| +2083 books | −2901 book | 5/10 | |
| +3371 book | — | 1/10 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 7.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 7.5 | Under 7.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle16 min ago | −128Best | −104 |
| FanDuel5 min ago | −130 | −102 |
| Bovada16 min ago | −135 | +105Best |
| DraftKings16 min ago | −136 | +103 |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 3:15 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
7.5Over: −130 → −135 since first seen


