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Jordan Goodwin
PHX @ GSSuns @ Warriors · Today 10:00 PM ET
The line
Over 11.5 Pts+Reb
Typical price −1056 sportsbooksbest −103
Game log
Over 11.5Over 11.5 Pts+Reb cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 on the road).
Our model's range for tonight: a typical night lands 5.1–21.5 pts+reb.
Home and away
L10 · Over 11.5Home
75%
3 of 4
Awaytonight
50%
3 of 6
L10 · Over 11.5 Pts+Reb
- Average
- 11.6
- +0.1 vs line
- Median
- 13
- +1.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 51%
- −105, 6 sportsbooks
- Market’s fair
- 48%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 56%
- estimate · fair −128
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge: props on our numbers have lost money since Oct 7.
Research, not a pick. At −103 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −128, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 11.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 11.5 | Under 11.5 |
|---|---|---|
| BetRivers2 min ago | −103Best | — |
| Bally Bet6 min ago | −104 | — |
| betPARX6 min ago | −104 | −132 |
| FanDuel1 min ago | −106 | −120 |
| Bovada11 min ago | −110 | −120 |
| DraftKings6 min ago | −110 | −119Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:27 PM ET.
Every posted line
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −12401 book | — | 8/10 | |
| −1675 books | +1551 book | 7/10 | |
| −1501 book | +1151 book | 7/10 | |
| −1056 books | −1204 books | 6/10 | |
| +1904 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +5511 book | — | 0/10 | |
| +14401 book | — | 0/10 |